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Heming vs Baerum

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heming host Baerum in the Division 3 - Group 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Heming have averaged 2 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Baerum's 2.88 scored and 2.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Heming have won 1 to Baerum's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:4. xG projections (2.13 - 2.31) back Heming to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Heming
6%
Draws
90%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Baerum carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Baerum a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Heming Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heming Baerum
Matches Played 16 32
Wins 8 15
Draws 2 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Heming
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heming 10 / 100
Baerum 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heming Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Baerum conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Heming's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Heming went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heming VS Baerum
2 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Heming

(Home)
25 Jul
Ullern
1 : 3
Heming
28 Jun
KFUM Oslo 2
2 : 2
Heming
20 Jun
Heming
1 : 0
Gamle Oslo
13 Jun
Frigg
4 : 1
Heming
30 May
Heming
2 : 0
Union Carl Berner
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Baerum

(Away)
25 Jul
Baerum
6 : 3
Valerenga 2
27 Jun
Frigg
1 : 1
Baerum
20 Jun
Baerum
7 : 2
Konnerud
14 Jun
KFUM Oslo 2
1 : 4
Baerum
30 May
Baerum
5 : 0
Grei
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