Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heming vs Baerum

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sorlie S.
29' Event
Victorio A.
36' Event
Ferrer U.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 game between Heming and Baerum finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heming.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Heming
15%
Draws
37%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heming

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Baerum carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Heming a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Heming Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heming Baerum
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.13 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Heming vs Baerum
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Heming
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heming Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorlie S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Victorio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heming 74 / 100
Baerum 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heming Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heming Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Baerum conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Heming's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Heming went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heming VS Baerum
2.13 Goals Scored 3.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Heming

(Home)
19 Sept
Grei
1 : 4
Heming
12 Sept
Heming
5 : 1
Frigg
04 Sept
Gamle Oslo
2 : 1
Heming
30 Aug
Heming
5 : 2
Valerenga 2
22 Aug
Heming
0 : 2
Stabaek
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Baerum

(Away)
19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2
Union Carl Berner
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0
Nordstrand
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
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