Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heming vs Stabaek

Norway Norway

NM Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Krogstad F.
Assist: Lereng E.
82' Event
Hanstad J.
Assist: Sanyang A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Heming
15%
Draws
28%
Stabaek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heming

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stabaek lately — more wins on the board than Heming.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Heming taking it.
  • Stabaek arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stabaek, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Heming Clean Sheet 10%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heming Stabaek
Matches Played 23 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.04 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NM Cup
Heming vs Stabaek
0:2
May 1, 2019 NM Cup
Heming vs Stabaek
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heming Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Krogstad F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hanstad J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heming 56 / 100
Stabaek 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heming Stabaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heming Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Heming scored in 78% of their last 23 outings.

Stabaek let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Stabaek lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heming VS Stabaek
2.5 Goals Scored 3.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Heming

(Home)
12 Sept
Heming
5 : 1
Frigg
04 Sept
Gamle Oslo
2 : 1
Heming
30 Aug
Heming
5 : 2
Valerenga 2
22 Aug
Heming
0 : 2
Stabaek
15 Aug
Heming
2 : 5
Asker
Page 1 of 5

Stabaek

(Away)
16 Sept
Pors
2 : 1
Stabaek
12 Sept
Bryne
2 : 0
Stabaek
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
30 Aug
Hodd
2 : 1
Stabaek
26 Aug
Stabaek
4 : 2
Ranheim
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
1/32-finals
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Madla IL -
Viking -
Honefoss -
KFUM Oslo -
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint -
Sandefjord -
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Grorud -
Moss -
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Follo -
Sarpsborg 08 -
Skeid 1
Valerenga 4
1/16-finals
TBD -
Sogndal -
Molde -
Stromsgodset -
Egersund -
Bryne -
Kristiansund -
Aalesund -
Sandnes Ulf -
TBD -
Asane -
Hodd -
Ranheim -
Fredrikstad -
TBD -
TBD -
Raufoss -
Start -
Tromso -
Haugesund -
Odds BK -
TBD -
Pors -
Kongsvinger -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) -
Lyn -
Rosenborg -
Ham-Kam -
TBD -
Brann -
TBD -
Valerenga -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
Final
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