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Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Henan Songshan Longmen host Beijing Guoan in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Henan Songshan Longmen at 1.31 goals for, 1.34 against; Beijing Guoan at 2 for, 1.19 against. Head-to-head, Henan Songshan Longmen have won 2 to Beijing Guoan's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.13 - 2.06) back Beijing Guoan to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Henan Songshan Longmen
35%
Draws
45%
Beijing Guoan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beijing Guoan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beijing Guoan come out ahead of Henan Songshan Longmen on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Beijing Guoan taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Henan Songshan Longmen Clean Sheet 10%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Henan Songshan Longmen Beijing Guoan
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.31 2
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 FA Cup
Beijing Guoan vs Henan Songshan Longmen
3:0
Sep 12, 2025 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan
2:0
Apr 25, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Henan Songshan Longmen 18 / 100
Beijing Guoan 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Henan Songshan Longmen Beijing Guoan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Henan Songshan Longmen remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Henan Songshan Longmen found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Beijing Guoan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Henan Songshan Longmen VS Beijing Guoan
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Henan Songshan Longmen

(Home)
09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2
Henan Songshan Longmen
12 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
06 Sept
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4
Henan Songshan Longmen
Page 1 of 6

Beijing Guoan

(Away)
09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0
Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1
Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
3 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)