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Henan Songshan Longmen vs Chongqing Tonglianglong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
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Match Events

17' Event
Gustavo
Assist: Bruno Nazario
34'
Gustavo
46'
Sub
Zhang Zhixiong In: Lucao
Out: Zhang Zhixiong

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Henan Songshan Longmen
35%
Draws
19%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Henan Songshan Longmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Henan Songshan Longmen average 1.31 goals a game right now, well clear of Chongqing Tonglianglong's 1.07.
  • Henan Songshan Longmen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Henan Songshan Longmen Clean Sheet 68%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Henan Songshan Longmen Chongqing Tonglianglong
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
1:1
May 5, 2026 Super League
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:1
May 21, 2025 FA Cup
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Henan Songshan Longmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruan Qilong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Henan Songshan Longmen 68 / 100
Chongqing Tonglianglong 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Henan Songshan Longmen Chongqing Tonglianglong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Henan Songshan Longmen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Henan Songshan Longmen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Henan Songshan Longmen's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chongqing Tonglianglong conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Henan Songshan Longmen VS Chongqing Tonglianglong
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Henan Songshan Longmen

(Home)
09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2
Henan Songshan Longmen
12 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
06 Sept
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4
Henan Songshan Longmen
Page 1 of 6

Chongqing Tonglianglong

(Away)
06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0 : 1
Dalian Yingbo
14 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
0 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
3 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
4 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
5 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)