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Henan Songshan Longmen vs Qingdao Hainiu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
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Match Events

19' Event
Iago Maidana
Assist: Bruno Nazario
24' Event
Bruno Nazario
Assist: Haliq Ablahan
50' Event
Gustavo

AI Match Summary

Henan Songshan Longmen in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Henan Songshan Longmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Henan Songshan Longmen
35%
Draws
0%
Qingdao Hainiu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Henan Songshan Longmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Henan Songshan Longmen lately — more wins on the board than Qingdao Hainiu.
  • Win probability leans Henan Songshan Longmen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Henan Songshan Longmen Clean Sheet 68%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Henan Songshan Longmen Qingdao Hainiu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 3
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.31 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Qingdao Hainiu
5:1
Apr 4, 2026 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Qingdao Hainiu
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Henan Songshan Longmen
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Henan Songshan Longmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Iago Maidana
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Qingdao Hainiu Compare

Top Goalscorer Edjouma M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Henan Songshan Longmen 95 / 100
Qingdao Hainiu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Henan Songshan Longmen Qingdao Hainiu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Henan Songshan Longmen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Qingdao Hainiu conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Henan Songshan Longmen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Qingdao Hainiu's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Henan Songshan Longmen found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Henan Songshan Longmen VS Qingdao Hainiu
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Henan Songshan Longmen

(Home)
09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2
Henan Songshan Longmen
12 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
06 Sept
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4
Henan Songshan Longmen
Page 1 of 6

Qingdao Hainiu

(Away)
09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
05 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
2 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
29 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 5
Wuhan Three Towns
23 Aug
Shanghai Port
2 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
14 Aug
Shandong Taishan
3 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 27 13 4 10 42:42 43
3 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
4 Shandong Taishan 27 13 5 9 47:44 38
5 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
6 Qingdao West Coast 27 8 14 5 31:36 38
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Chongqing Tonglianglong 27 7 11 9 28:33 32
10 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 27 7 5 15 35:48 26
15 Wuhan Three Towns 27 5 12 10 40:47 22
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)