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Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
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AI Match Summary

Henan Songshan Longmen host Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in the Super League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Henan Songshan Longmen have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's 1.34 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Henan Songshan Longmen have won 1 to Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 19, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.56, favoring Tianjin Jinmen Tiger. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Henan Songshan Longmen
35%
Draws
43%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Henan Songshan Longmen have managed 1.29 goals a game lately — Tianjin Jinmen Tiger are scoring more at 1.34.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Henan Songshan Longmen Clean Sheet 15%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Henan Songshan Longmen Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:0
May 5, 2025 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3:4
Sep 14, 2024 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:0
May 4, 2024 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Henan Songshan Longmen 31 / 100
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Henan Songshan Longmen Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Henan Songshan Longmen's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Henan Songshan Longmen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Henan Songshan Longmen VS Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Henan Songshan Longmen

(Home)
12 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
06 Sept
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4
Henan Songshan Longmen
15 Aug
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
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Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

(Away)
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 1
Zhejiang Professional
29 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 1
Qingdao West Coast
22 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
15 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 4
Beijing Guoan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
3 Beijing Guoan 26 11 10 5 49:33 38
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 26 10 8 8 40:33 33
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 26 10 6 10 45:43 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26 8 4 14 34:45 28
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 26 8 9 9 33:35 27
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 26 6 3 17 34:53 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)