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Hennef vs 1. FC Duren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hennef host 1. FC Duren in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Hennef at 1.4 goals for, 1.87 against; 1. FC Duren at 1.55 for, 1.93 against. Past meetings favor 1. FC Duren slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.75, favoring 1. FC Duren. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hennef
15%
Draws
46%
1. FC Duren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 1. FC Duren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hennef lately — more wins on the board than 1. FC Duren.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on 1. FC Duren taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • 1. FC Duren have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Hennef Clean Sheet 12%
1. FC Duren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hennef 1. FC Duren
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs 1. FC Duren
1:0
Sep 19, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs Hennef
2:0
Jan 28, 2023 Club Friendly
1. FC Duren vs Hennef
7:1
May 1, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs Hennef
5:1
Oct 17, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs 1. FC Duren
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hennef 27 / 100
1. FC Duren 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hennef 1. FC Duren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1. FC Duren Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

1. FC Duren has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Hennef scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Hennef has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hennef VS 1. FC Duren
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hennef

(Home)
04 Oct
Hennef
0 : 1
Fortuna Koln II
27 Sept
Konigsdorf
1 : 4
Hennef
20 Sept
Hennef
0 : 3
FC Wegberg-Beeck
13 Sept
Eintracht Hohkeppel
3 : 0
Hennef
06 Sept
Hennef
2 : 1
Bornheim
Page 1 of 6

1. FC Duren

(Away)
02 Oct
1. FC Duren
5 : 3
Konigsdorf
25 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
1. FC Duren
20 Sept
1. FC Duren
1 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
13 Sept
Bornheim
1 : 3
1. FC Duren
06 Sept
1. FC Duren
0 : 0
FC Hurth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Wegberg-Beeck 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 6 4 1 1 18:9 13
3 Fortuna Koln II 5 4 0 1 13:7 12
4 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
5 Merten 6 3 1 2 19:10 10
6 Chlodwig Zulpich 6 3 1 2 16:17 10
7 FC Hurth 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
8 Bornheim 7 3 0 4 17:17 9
9 VfL Vichttal 6 2 2 2 16:11 8
10 Frechen 6 2 2 2 12:12 8
11 1. FC Duren 6 2 1 3 12:14 7
12 Hennef 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
13 SpVg Porz 1919 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Siegburger 6 1 2 3 9:14 5
15 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Konigsdorf 5 0 0 5 6:27 0
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