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Hennef vs Glesch/Paffendorf Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024
Sun, May 12, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hennef host Glesch/Paffendorf in the Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Glesch/Paffendorf have shipped 2.76 goals a game lately, while Hennef have conceded 1.85 and scored 1.59. Past meetings favor Hennef slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.48 - 1.75) back Hennef to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hennef
15%
Draws
0%
Glesch/Paffendorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hennef

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hennef come out ahead of Glesch/Paffendorf on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hennef here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hennef Clean Sheet 12%
Glesch/Paffendorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hennef Glesch/Paffendorf
Matches Played 34 17
Wins 15 0
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.59 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.85 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs Glesch/Paffendorf
0:0
Nov 12, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Hennef
2:3
May 14, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs Glesch/Paffendorf
3:1
Oct 23, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Hennef
0:2
Apr 3, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Hennef
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hennef 30 / 100
Glesch/Paffendorf 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hennef Glesch/Paffendorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glesch/Paffendorf has conceded goals in 94% of their last 17 outings.

Glesch/Paffendorf lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Hennef scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Hennef VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hennef

(Home)
27 Sept
Konigsdorf
1 : 4
Hennef
20 Sept
Hennef
0 : 3
FC Wegberg-Beeck
13 Sept
Eintracht Hohkeppel
3 : 0
Hennef
06 Sept
Hennef
2 : 1
Bornheim
30 Aug
FC Hurth
0 : 0
Hennef
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Glesch/Paffendorf

(Away)
03 Dec
Konigsdorf
4 : 1
Glesch/Paffendorf
26 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
0 : 4
Germania Teveren
19 Nov
Eintracht Hohkeppel
4 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
12 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
2 : 3
Hennef
05 Nov
Bonner
2 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Hohkeppel 28 20 5 3 79:22 65
2 VfL Vichttal 28 18 4 6 72:28 58
3 Bonner 28 16 8 4 54:20 56
4 Frechen 28 17 4 7 64:31 55
5 Bergisch Gladbach 28 16 4 8 46:33 52
6 Siegburger 28 11 6 11 43:40 39
7 Fortuna Koln II 28 9 9 10 44:47 36
8 Konigsdorf 28 9 9 10 41:44 36
9 Hennef 28 10 2 16 40:59 32
10 FC Hurth 28 8 8 12 30:49 32
11 SpVg Porz 1919 28 10 1 17 39:63 31
12 Bonn-Endenich 08 28 6 5 17 32:55 23
13 Schafhausen 28 6 4 18 25:63 22
14 Germania Teveren 28 5 3 20 33:89 18
15 Glesch/Paffendorf 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borussia Freialdenhoven 28 7 12 9 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)