Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Hennef host Merten in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Merten have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Hennef have conceded 1.87 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Hennef slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 2.69) point toward Merten. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Merten carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Merten's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hennef | Merten |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 2.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hennef scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Merten's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Hennef remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hennef
(Home)Merten
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Hohkeppel | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:12 | 16 |
| 2 | FC Wegberg-Beeck | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Lindenthal-Hohenlind | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 4 | Merten | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Fortuna Koln II | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Frechen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:13 | 11 |
| 7 | 1. FC Duren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15:15 | 10 |
| 8 | Chlodwig Zulpich | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19:21 | 10 |
| 9 | Bornheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17:17 | 9 |
| 10 | FC Hurth | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 11 | VfL Vichttal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Siegburger | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Hennef | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 14 | SpVg Porz 1919 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 5 |
| 15 | Neunkirchen-Seelscheid | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 4 |
| 16 | Konigsdorf | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:28 | 3 |
