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Hennef vs Sportfreunde Duren Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Hennef Logo

Hennef

3 - 1
FT
Sportfreunde Duren Logo

Sportfreunde Duren

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hennef in this Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hennef.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hennef
15%
Draws
0%
Sportfreunde Duren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hennef

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sportfreunde Duren haven't matched Hennef's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hennef's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hennef Clean Sheet 20%
Sportfreunde Duren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hennef Sportfreunde Duren
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 1.55 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.03 3.43
Expected Goals (xG) 3.27 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs Sportfreunde Duren
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Sportfreunde Duren vs Hennef
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hennef 85 / 100
Sportfreunde Duren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hennef Sportfreunde Duren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hennef Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sportfreunde Duren conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Sportfreunde Duren's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hennef scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hennef VS Sportfreunde Duren
2.25 Goals Scored 0.71
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.29
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 86%
63% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Hennef

(Home)
27 Sept
Konigsdorf
1 : 4
Hennef
20 Sept
Hennef
0 : 3
FC Wegberg-Beeck
13 Sept
Eintracht Hohkeppel
3 : 0
Hennef
06 Sept
Hennef
2 : 1
Bornheim
30 Aug
FC Hurth
0 : 0
Hennef
Page 1 of 6

Sportfreunde Duren

(Away)
07 Jun
Sportfreunde Duren
0 : 3
FC Wegberg-Beeck
31 May
Fortuna Koln II
6 : 1
Sportfreunde Duren
25 May
Bergisch Gladbach
7 : 1
Sportfreunde Duren
17 May
Sportfreunde Duren
1 : 3
Eintracht Hohkeppel
10 May
Frechen
2 : 0
Sportfreunde Duren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)