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Henstedt-Ulzburg W vs Elversberg W

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Women 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Henstedt-Ulzburg W play Elversberg W in the 2. Bundesliga Women 2021/2022. Henstedt-Ulzburg W are favorites here. Recently, Henstedt-Ulzburg W averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2.74 conceded. Elversberg W averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. In past meetings, Henstedt-Ulzburg W won 1, Elversberg W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 17, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Henstedt-Ulzburg W and 1.00 for Elversberg W. This points to a Henstedt-Ulzburg W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Henstedt-Ulzburg W
25%
Draws
15%
Elversberg W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Henstedt-Ulzburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Henstedt-Ulzburg W picked up more points recently compared to Elversberg W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Henstedt-Ulzburg W Clean Sheet 23%
Elversberg W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Henstedt-Ulzburg W Elversberg W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 2
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1.97 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.74 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2022 2. Bundesliga Women
Henstedt-Ulzburg W vs Elversberg W
0:0
Oct 17, 2021 2. Bundesliga Women
Elversberg W vs Henstedt-Ulzburg W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Henstedt-Ulzburg W 59 / 100
Elversberg W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Henstedt-Ulzburg W Elversberg W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Henstedt-Ulzburg W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Henstedt-Ulzburg W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Henstedt-Ulzburg W attacking → ← attacking Elversberg W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Henstedt-Ulzburg W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Elversberg W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Henstedt-Ulzburg W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Elversberg W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 23
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Meppen W26194364:2061
2Duisburg W26193459:2660
3RB Leipzig W26172770:4653
4Andernach W26145754:3347
5Eintracht Frankfurt II W26127756:3843
61.FC Nurnberg W261321147:4341
7Bayern Munich II W261231143:4739
8Gutersloh W26951245:4632
9Hoffenheim II W26771229:3928
10Wolfsburg II W26771226:4128
11Ingolstadt W26831553:5727
12Elversberg W26641625:5722
13Henstedt-Ulzburg W26541736:7419
14Borussia Bocholt W26521931:7117