Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heracles vs Den Bosch

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Asito Stadium, Almelo
Fri, Aug 14, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heracles host Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Heracles have averaged 1.41 scored and 2.24 conceded recently, against Den Bosch's 1.53 scored and 1.67 conceded. Head-to-head, Heracles have won 3 to Den Bosch's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 26, 2023, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.56, favoring Den Bosch. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Heracles
15%
Draws
53%
Den Bosch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Den Bosch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Den Bosch lately — more wins on the board than Heracles.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Heracles Clean Sheet 15%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heracles Den Bosch
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Den Bosch
3:2
Sep 30, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Heracles
1:2
Sep 25, 2018 KNVB Beker
Den Bosch vs Heracles
1:2
Jul 23, 2014 Club Friendly
Den Bosch vs Heracles
2:0
Jul 27, 2010 Club Friendly
Den Bosch vs Heracles
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heracles 31 / 100
Den Bosch 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heracles Den Bosch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Heracles scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Heracles remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heracles VS Den Bosch
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Heracles

(Home)
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5
Excelsior
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0
FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1
Groningen
17 May
Heracles
1 : 2
Groningen
10 May
Telstar
3 : 0
Heracles
Page 1 of 6

Den Bosch

(Away)
31 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 0
Al Fayha
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
18 Jul
Eindhoven FC
0 : 0
Den Bosch
11 Jul
Den Bosch
3 : 1
Quick Boys
02 May
Almere City
3 : 0
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 De Graafschap 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Venlo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Den Bosch 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Dordrecht 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Eindhoven FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 FC Emmen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Helmond Sport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Maastricht 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Almere City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 TOP Oss 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 FC Volendam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Waalwijk 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 NAC Breda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Roda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Vitesse 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Heracles 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Jong PSV 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Jong Ajax 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Jong AZ Alkmaar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Jong Utrecht 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)