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Heracles vs Den Bosch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Asito Stadium, Almelo
Heracles Logo

Heracles

3 - 2
FT
Den Bosch Logo

Den Bosch

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Felida K.
45' Event
N'djoli J.
Assist: Abbas C.
61'
Sub
Boumassaoudi I. In: Barglan S.
Out: Boumassaoudi I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Heracles in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Heracles
20%
Draws
23%
Den Bosch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Heracles lately — more wins on the board than Den Bosch.
  • Model gives Heracles a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Heracles have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Heracles Clean Sheet 17%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heracles Den Bosch
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Den Bosch
3:2
Mar 26, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Den Bosch
3:2
Sep 30, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Heracles
1:2
Sep 25, 2018 KNVB Beker
Den Bosch vs Heracles
1:2
Jul 23, 2014 Club Friendly
Den Bosch vs Heracles
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer N'djoli J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader van Gilst T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Den Bosch Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlsson Grach S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heracles 84 / 100
Den Bosch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heracles Den Bosch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heracles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Heracles found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Heracles went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heracles VS Den Bosch
3.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Heracles

(Home)
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2
Heracles
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2
Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
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Den Bosch

(Away)
03 Oct
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Dordrecht
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)