Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heracles vs Groningen

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Asito Stadium, Almelo
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
van der Werff D.
17' Event
van Gilst T.
Assist: Benita M.
56' Event
Land T.
Assist: Rente M.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie 2025/2026 game between Heracles and Groningen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Groningen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Heracles
33%
Draws
27%
Groningen
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Groningen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Heracles taking it.
  • Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Heracles Clean Sheet 13%
Groningen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heracles Groningen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Heracles vs Groningen
2:1
May 17, 2026 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Groningen
1:2
Aug 29, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Heracles
4:0
Apr 23, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Heracles
4:1
Jan 28, 2025 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Groningen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer van Gilst T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Groningen Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Werff D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Land T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heracles 39 / 100
Groningen 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heracles Groningen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Heracles found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Groningen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Groningen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heracles VS Groningen
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heracles

(Home)
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5
Excelsior
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0
FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1
Groningen
17 May
Heracles
1 : 2
Groningen
10 May
Telstar
3 : 0
Heracles
Page 1 of 6

Groningen

(Away)
25 Jul
Groningen
0 : 0
Volos
24 Jul
Groningen
0 : 4
FC Volendam
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2
AEK
11 Jul
Groningen
3 : 2
FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1
Groningen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV342734101:4584
2Feyenoord34198770:4465
3Nijmegen341611777:5359
4Twente341513659:4058
5Ajax341414662:4156
6Utrecht341581155:4253
7AZ Alkmaar3414101058:5152
8Heerenveen341491157:5351
9Groningen341461449:4548
10Sparta Rotterdam341271540:6243
11Sittard341161749:6339
12G.A. Eagles348141254:5338
13Excelsior341081643:5638
14Telstar349101549:5537
15Zwolle349101544:7137
16FC Volendam34881835:5532
17NAC Breda346111735:5829
18Heracles34542535:8519
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)