Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heracles vs Groningen

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Asito Stadium, Almelo
Heracles Logo

Heracles

1 - 2
FT
Groningen Logo

Groningen

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
van der Werff D.
17' Event
van Gilst T.
Assist: Benita M.
56' Event
Land T.
Assist: Rente M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie 2025/2026 game between Heracles and Groningen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Groningen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Heracles
20%
Draws
20%
Groningen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Heracles's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Groningen have produced (1.41).
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Heracles taking it.
  • Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Heracles Clean Sheet 15%
Groningen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heracles Groningen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Heracles vs Groningen
2:1
May 17, 2026 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Groningen
1:2
Aug 29, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Heracles
4:0
Apr 23, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Heracles
4:1
Jan 28, 2025 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Groningen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer van Gilst T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Groningen Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Werff D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Land T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heracles 84 / 100
Groningen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heracles Groningen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heracles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Groningen conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Heracles stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Heracles scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Heracles VS Groningen
3.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Heracles

(Home)
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2
Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
30 Aug
Eindhoven FC
1 : 3
Heracles
24 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 6
Heracles
14 Aug
Heracles
3 : 2
Den Bosch
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Groningen

(Away)
12 Sept
G.A. Eagles
1 : 1
Groningen
06 Sept
Groningen
2 : 2
Twente
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3
Sittard
23 Aug
PSV
5 : 1
Groningen
16 Aug
Den Haag
1 : 4
Groningen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV 34 27 3 4 101:45 84
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 70:44 65
3 Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 77:53 59
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 59:40 58
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 62:41 56
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 55:42 53
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 58:51 52
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 57:53 51
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 49:45 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 40:62 43
11 Sittard 34 11 6 17 49:63 39
12 G.A. Eagles 34 8 14 12 54:53 38
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 43:56 38
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 49:55 37
15 Zwolle 34 9 10 15 44:71 37
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 35:55 32
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 35:58 29
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 35:85 19
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)