Sport Picks
Herbania vs Union Sur Yaiza Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 
Match Events
25'
25'
Padilla J.
AI Match Summary
Herbania in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Herbania.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Sur Yaiza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Union Sur Yaiza lately — more wins on the board than Herbania.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Union Sur Yaiza taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Herbania Clean Sheet 19%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Herbania | Union Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Herbania
2:0
Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:1
Oct 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Herbania
5:0
Mar 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Herbania Compare
Top Goalscorer Padilla J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Union Sur Yaiza Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Herbania 24 / 100
Union Sur Yaiza 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Herbania Union Sur Yaiza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Sur Yaiza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Herbania scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Union Sur Yaiza let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Herbania has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Herbania VS Union Sur Yaiza
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Herbania
(Home) 10 May
Herbania
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0 Herbania
25 Apr
Herbania
1 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1 Telde
18 Apr
Tamaraceite
4 : 1 Herbania
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
25 Apr
Herbania
1 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1 Telde
11 Apr
Herbania
0 : 0 Lanzarote
31 Mar
Herbania
0 : 2 Las Palmas C
Page 1 of 3
Union Sur Yaiza
(Away) 26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
26 Apr
CD Marino
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1 Union Sur Yaiza
29 Mar
UD San Fernando
3 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
