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Hercilio Luz vs Caravaggio

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Hercilio Luz Logo

Hercilio Luz

0 - 0
FT
Caravaggio Logo

Caravaggio

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Hercilio Luz and Caravaggio finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hercilio Luz
30%
Draws
37%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Hercilio Luz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Caravaggio are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Hercilio Luz Clean Sheet 16%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercilio Luz Caravaggio
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Catarinense 2
Hercilio Luz vs Caravaggio
0:0
May 31, 2026 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Hercilio Luz
2:2
Feb 2, 2025 Catarinense
Caravaggio vs Hercilio Luz
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercilio Luz 15 / 100
Caravaggio 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercilio Luz Caravaggio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaggio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hercilio Luz found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Caravaggio let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Hercilio Luz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hercilio Luz VS Caravaggio
2 Goals Scored 2.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hercilio Luz

(Home)
19 Sept
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Hercilio Luz
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0
Caravaggio
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Caravaggio

(Away)
25 Jul
Caravaggio
3 : 1
Gremio Juventus
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0
Caravaggio
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)