Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hercilio Luz vs Carlos Renaux

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hercilio Luz in this Copa Santa Catarina 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hercilio Luz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Hercilio Luz
11%
Draws
9%
Carlos Renaux
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Hercilio Luz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hercilio Luz lately — more wins on the board than Carlos Renaux.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Hercilio Luz taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Santa Catarina 2022 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Hercilio Luz Clean Sheet 18%
Carlos Renaux Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercilio Luz Carlos Renaux
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2022 Copa Santa Catarina
Hercilio Luz vs Carlos Renaux
1:0
Aug 28, 2022 Copa Santa Catarina
Carlos Renaux vs Hercilio Luz
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercilio Luz 76 / 100
Carlos Renaux 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercilio Luz Carlos Renaux

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Hercilio Luz stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Hercilio Luz's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Carlos Renaux let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hercilio Luz VS Carlos Renaux
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marcilio Dias1055021:920
2Figueirense1051413:1516
3Hercilio Luz1043314:1115
4Carlos Renaux103438:813
5Joinville1033412:1112
6Nacao101275:195