Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Catarinense 2 game between Hercilio Luz and Fluminense-SC finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercilio Luz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fluminense-SC haven't matched Hercilio Luz's recent run of results.
- Model gives Hercilio Luz a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Hercilio Luz have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hercilio Luz | Fluminense-SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hercilio Luz Compare
Fluminense-SC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fluminense-SC let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Hercilio Luz went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Hercilio Luz's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hercilio Luz
(Home)Fluminense-SC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 35:10 | 42 |
| 2 | CA Metropolitano | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 36:18 | 38 |
| 3 | Caravaggio | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 47:20 | 35 |
| 4 | Blumenau | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35:15 | 31 |
| 5 | Tubarao | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani de Palhoca | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Nacao | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Fluminense-SC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | 21 |
| 9 | Gremio Juventus | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Jaragua-SC | 18 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6:73 | 1 |
