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AI Match Summary
Hercilio Luz in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hercilio Luz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Hercilio Luz lately — more wins on the board than Jaragua-SC.
- Model gives Hercilio Luz a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hercilio Luz | Jaragua-SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 0.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 4.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 0.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 4.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Hercilio Luz went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Jaragua-SC has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Hercilio Luz scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hercilio Luz
(Home)Jaragua-SC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33:9 | 38 |
| 2 | CA Metropolitano | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 33:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Caravaggio | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 44:19 | 31 |
| 4 | Blumenau | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 32:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Tubarao | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Nacao | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 7 | Fluminense-SC | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Guarani de Palhoca | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Gremio Juventus | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 16:23 | 17 |
| 10 | Jaragua-SC | 17 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6:70 | 1 |