Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Catarinense 2 game between Hercilio Luz and Nacao finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercilio Luz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Hercilio Luz carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Hercilio Luz a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Hercilio Luz have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hercilio Luz | Nacao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hercilio Luz Compare
Nacao Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Hercilio Luz remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Hercilio Luz found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Defensive concern: Nacao conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hercilio Luz
(Home)Nacao
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 35:10 | 42 |
| 2 | CA Metropolitano | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 36:18 | 38 |
| 3 | Caravaggio | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 47:20 | 35 |
| 4 | Blumenau | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35:15 | 31 |
| 5 | Tubarao | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani de Palhoca | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Nacao | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Fluminense-SC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | 21 |
| 9 | Gremio Juventus | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Jaragua-SC | 18 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6:73 | 1 |
