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Hercules vs Castellon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
0 - 1
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Escudero A.
41'
Cantero R.
53'
Sub
Escudero A. In: Obeng I.
Out: Escudero A.

AI Match Summary

Castellon in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Hercules
20%
Draws
45%
Castellon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Castellon have won more games recently than Hercules.
  • Win probability leans Castellon's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hercules Clean Sheet 18%
Castellon Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercules Castellon
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 0.96 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Hercules vs Castellon
0:1
Aug 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Hercules vs Castellon
3:4
Aug 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Hercules vs Castellon
1:0
Mar 29, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Hercules vs Castellon
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Castellon vs Hercules
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercules 28 / 100
Castellon 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercules Castellon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Hercules has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hercules found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Hercules VS Castellon
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hercules

(Home)
03 Oct
Hercules
0 : 0
Jaen
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
12 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 2
Hercules
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
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Castellon

(Away)
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1
AD Ceuta
28 Sept
Leganes
0 : 2
Castellon
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0
Albacete
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