Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hercules vs Eldense

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio José Rico Pérez, Alicante
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ropero U.
10'
Fidel
37'
Colomina R.

AI Match Summary

Hercules in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hercules.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Hercules
17%
Draws
13%
Eldense
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Eldense have won more games recently than Hercules.
  • Model gives Hercules a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Hercules Clean Sheet 68%
Eldense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercules Eldense
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Eldense
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Eldense vs Hercules
2:0
Mar 27, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Hercules vs Eldense
0:1
Nov 7, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Eldense vs Hercules
2:2
Aug 28, 2021 Club Friendly
Hercules vs Eldense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Ropero U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sotillos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Eldense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercules 77 / 100
Eldense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercules Eldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hercules scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Eldense let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hercules remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hercules VS Eldense
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hercules

(Home)
23 May
Hercules
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona
16 May
Algeciras
0 : 2
Hercules
09 May
Hercules
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
03 May
Villarreal B
1 : 0
Hercules
26 Apr
Hercules
3 : 1
Teruel
Page 1 of 6

Eldense

(Away)
01 Aug
Murcia
2 : 1
Eldense
25 Jul
Eldense
3 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
22 Jul
Valencia
3 : 0
Eldense
17 Jul
Eldense
1 : 2
Millwall
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0
Eldense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)