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Hercules vs Metapan Prediction & H2H Stats

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Oliva J.
25' Event
Vasquez Guillen L. E.
86' Event
Oliva J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Hercules and Metapan finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercules.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hercules
30%
Draws
33%
Metapan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Metapan come out ahead of Hercules on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hercules Clean Sheet 20%
Metapan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercules Metapan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Primera Division
Hercules vs Metapan
3:0
Mar 8, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Hercules
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Primera Division
Hercules vs Metapan
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Hercules
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliva J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vasquez Guillen L. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Metapan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercules 31 / 100
Metapan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercules Metapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hercules Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hercules went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Hercules scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Metapan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Hercules VS Metapan
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hercules

(Home)
01 May
Hercules
3 : 0
Metapan
26 Apr
Platense Municipal
1 : 1
Hercules
23 Apr
Cacahuatique
1 : 2
Hercules
19 Apr
Hercules
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
15 Apr
Cacahuatique
1 : 2
Hercules
Page 1 of 6

Metapan

(Away)
27 Sept
Metapan
2 : 0
Cacahuatique
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
06 Sept
Metapan
0 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 22 16 5 1 49:16 53
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 5 4 34:20 44
3 Alianza FC 22 11 4 7 36:30 37
4 Inter Santa Tecla 22 10 6 6 27:25 36
5 Municipal Limeno 22 10 5 7 33:21 35
6 Aguila 22 10 5 7 27:24 35
7 Metapan 22 6 9 7 23:30 27
8 Cacahuatique 22 6 8 8 24:28 26
9 Platense Municipal 22 4 8 10 24:31 20
10 Hercules 22 4 7 11 27:43 19
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 2 8 12 18:35 14
12 Zacatecoluca FC 22 3 4 15 23:42 13
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)