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Hercules vs Murcia

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
20' Event
Ivanov B.
Penalty Missed
21'

AI Match Summary

Hercules in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hercules.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Hercules
20%
Draws
48%
Murcia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / High Confidence
  • Murcia average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Hercules's 1.13.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Murcia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Hercules Clean Sheet 19%
Murcia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercules Murcia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Murcia
2:0
Jan 11, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Hercules
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Hercules vs Murcia
1:0
Jan 18, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Hercules
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Murcia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Murcia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercules 24 / 100
Murcia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercules Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hercules found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Murcia conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Hercules remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hercules VS Murcia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hercules

(Home)
01 Aug
UCAM Murcia
1 : 1
Hercules
23 May
Hercules
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona
16 May
Algeciras
0 : 2
Hercules
09 May
Hercules
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
03 May
Villarreal B
1 : 0
Hercules
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Murcia

(Away)
05 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 4
Murcia
01 Aug
Murcia
2 : 1
Eldense
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0
Murcia
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0
Eldense
16 May
Torremolinos
1 : 3
Murcia
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