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Hercules vs UD Ibiza

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio José Rico Pérez
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hercules play UD Ibiza in the Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hercules averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. UD Ibiza averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Hercules won 3, UD Ibiza won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Hercules and 1.13 for UD Ibiza. This points to a Hercules double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hercules
29%
Draws
31%
UD Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Hercules picked up more points recently compared to UD Ibiza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Hercules Clean Sheet 21%
UD Ibiza Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercules UD Ibiza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs UD Ibiza
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
UD Ibiza vs Hercules
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs UD Ibiza
3:2
Sep 15, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
UD Ibiza vs Hercules
1:1
Feb 21, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Hercules vs UD Ibiza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Puch Herrantz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Escudero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

UD Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercules 40 / 100
UD Ibiza 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercules UD Ibiza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hercules or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hercules attacking → ← attacking UD Ibiza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hercules scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

UD Ibiza let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Hercules went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

UD Ibiza lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 39
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Eldense381912757:3969
2Sabadell381814653:2768
3Atl. Madrid B381910964:4467
4Villarreal B381615754:3263
5CE Europa3816121055:5060
6FC Cartagena SAD3815121137:3857
7Antequera381681447:4456
8Algeciras3815101340:4155
9Hercules3814121243:4154
10Murcia3814101443:4052
11Alcorcon3812151144:3851
12UD Ibiza3813111444:3850
13Teruel3812131327:3349
14Gimnastic de Tarragona381381740:4947
15Torremolinos3811131445:5146
16Betis B381291748:5945
17Tarazona3811121531:4045
18Marbella38972236:5534
19Sanluqueno387102127:5331
20Sevilla B385132021:4428