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Hercules vs UD Ibiza Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio José Rico Pérez, Alicante
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Indias I.
39'
Sub
Monsalve N. In: Alvarez A.
Out: Monsalve N.
41'
Alvarez A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Hercules and UD Ibiza finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercules.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hercules
15%
Draws
34%
UD Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Ibiza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Hercules Clean Sheet 68%
UD Ibiza Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercules UD Ibiza
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs UD Ibiza
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
UD Ibiza vs Hercules
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs UD Ibiza
3:2
Sep 15, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
UD Ibiza vs Hercules
1:1
Feb 21, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Hercules vs UD Ibiza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Puch Herrantz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Escudero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

UD Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercules 41 / 100
UD Ibiza 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercules UD Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hercules Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hercules's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: UD Ibiza conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Hercules went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hercules VS UD Ibiza
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hercules

(Home)
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
12 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 2
Hercules
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
29 Aug
Hercules
1 : 2
Murcia
Page 1 of 6

UD Ibiza

(Away)
25 Sept
UD Ibiza
0 : 2
Zaragoza
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 0
Sant Andreu
05 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
30 Aug
Antequera
3 : 2
UD Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)