Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Herd vs Hodd

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2021/2022
0 - 3
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Bruun-Hansen M.
68' Event
Loken O.
90' Event
Loken O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Hodd advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Herd
15%
Draws
64%
Hodd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hodd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hodd come out ahead of Herd on wins alone.
  • Herd are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Hodd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hodd, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Hodd have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Herd Clean Sheet 15%
Hodd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herd Hodd
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2021 NM Cup
Herd vs Hodd
0:3
Feb 3, 2017 Club Friendly
Hodd vs Herd
7:0
Apr 23, 2015 NM Cup
Herd vs Hodd
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Hodd Compare

Top Goalscorer Loken O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bruun-Hansen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herd 35 / 100
Hodd 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herd Hodd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hodd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Herd scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Herd went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herd VS Hodd
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Herd

(Home)
15 Aug
Herd
9 : 0
Ranheim 2
10 Aug
Aalesund 2
3 : 0
Herd
31 Jul
Herd
0 : 1
Volda
25 Jul
Melhus
2 : 0
Herd
27 Jun
Herd
2 : 2
Ntnui
Page 1 of 6

Hodd

(Away)
22 Aug
Spjelkavik
1 : 2
Hodd
16 Aug
Hodd
4 : 3
Strommen
09 Aug
Sandnes Ulf
3 : 4
Hodd
02 Aug
Hodd
2 : 1
Moss
27 Jul
Stabaek
6 : 0
Hodd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Sola 1
Madla IL 0
Hinna 0
Bryne 4
Herd 0
Hodd 3
Spjelkavik 1
Molde 4
Ullern 3
Asker 1
Lyn 0
Valerenga 4
Flint 1
Fram 2
Eik-Tonsberg 0
Odds BK 1
Ardal 0
Floro 1
Fjora 0
Sogndal 3
Stord 3
Haugesund 2
Lysekloster 1
Asane 2
OS TF 2
Oygarden FK 6
Sandviken 1
Fyllingsdalen 2
Nordstrand 3
Baerum 2
Kvik Halden 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Vestfossen 1
Moss 3
Krakeroy 0
Fredrikstad 3
Akra 3
V. Haugesund 2
Brodd 0
Sandnes Ulf 3
Vidar 2
Egersund 1
IL Express 0
Start 8
Halsen 1
Notodden 5
Assiden 0
Mjondalen 3
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Toten 0
Brumunddal 1
Ham-Kam 2
Gjellerasen 1
Eidsvold TF 4
Nybergsund 0
Raufoss 1
Ready 4
Grei 0
Honefoss 0
Stromsgodset 2
Orn 1
Ull/Kisa 2
Follo 0
Stabaek 1
Kolstad 0
Levanger 5
Byasen 3
Ranheim 4
Sunndal 0
Brattvag 4
Traeff 0
Aalesund 4
Skjervoy 0
Alta 1
Skanland 0
Tromso 11
Junkeren 2
Mjolner 0
Rana FK 1
Bodo/Glimt 4
Verdal 0
Nardo 6
Ntnui 0
Stjordals Blink 6
Mandalskameratene 1
Arendal 2
Pors 1
Sandefjord 4
Lokomotiv Oslo 0
Kjelsas 1
Stovner 2
Grorud 5
Oppsal 0
Skeid 2
Funnefoss/Vormsund 0
Lillestrom 4
Floya 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
Frigg 2
KFUM Oslo 4
Tynset 1
Tiller 4
Volda 2
Kristiansund 4
Harstad 2
Melbo 0
Finnsnes 0
Senja 3
Fana 2
Sotra 1
Bjarg 0
Brann 5
Elverum 1
Kongsvinger 3
Lorenskog 1
Strommen 2
Vindbjart 0
Flekkeroy 1
Donn 1
Jerv 2
Vardeneset 0
Djerv 1919 3
Staal Jorpeland 2
Viking 3
Strindheim 2
Orkla 4
Melhus 0
Rosenborg 7
1/32-finals
Sola 0
Bryne 6
Hodd 1
Molde 2
Ullern 1
Valerenga 3
Fram 0
Odds BK 1
Floro 1
Sogndal 5
Stord 0
Asane 4
Oygarden FK 2
Fyllingsdalen 1
Nordstrand 0
Sarpsborg 08 3
Moss 3
Fredrikstad 1
Akra 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Vidar 0
Start 2
Notodden 0
Mjondalen 3
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Ham-Kam 3
Eidsvold TF 1
Raufoss 3
Ready 0
Stromsgodset 1
Ull/Kisa 0
Stabaek 1
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Brattvag 2
Aalesund 3
Alta 3
Tromso 1
Junkeren 1
Bodo/Glimt 3
Nardo 3
Stjordals Blink 0
Arendal 5
Sandefjord 4
Kjelsas 0
Grorud 1
Skeid 1
Lillestrom 2
Floya 1
KFUM Oslo 5
Tiller 1
Kristiansund 5
Harstad 3
Senja 2
Fana 0
Brann 3
Kongsvinger 3
Strommen 0
Flekkeroy 3
Jerv 2
Djerv 1919 0
Viking 2
Orkla 1
Rosenborg 11
1/16-finals
Bryne 1
Molde 4
Valerenga 0
Odds BK 3
Sogndal 0
Asane 2
Oygarden FK 0
Sarpsborg 08 5
Moss 1
Sandnes Ulf 7
Start 4
Mjondalen 2
Ham-Kam 1
Raufoss 2
Stromsgodset 5
Stabaek 1
Ranheim 1
Aalesund 2
Alta 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
Nardo 3
Arendal 2
Grorud 2
Lillestrom 3
KFUM Oslo 3
Kristiansund 1
Harstad 0
Brann 5
Kongsvinger 4
Flekkeroy 1
Viking 3
Rosenborg 1
1/8-finals
Molde 3
Odds BK 2
Asane 0
Sarpsborg 08 5
Sandnes Ulf 2
Start 0
Raufoss 1
Stromsgodset 2
Aalesund 0
Bodo/Glimt 3
Nardo 0
Lillestrom 4
KFUM Oslo 1
Brann 0
Kongsvinger 0
Viking 2
Quarter-finals
Molde 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
Sandnes Ulf 0
Stromsgodset 4
Bodo/Glimt 4
Lillestrom 1
KFUM Oslo 0
Viking 5
Semi-finals
Molde 3
Stromsgodset 0
Bodo/Glimt 2
Viking 1
Final
Molde 1
Bodo/Glimt 0