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Herediano vs Cartagines - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Herediano host Cartagines in the Primera Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Cartagines have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Herediano have conceded 0.85 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor Herediano slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.50, favoring Cartagines. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Herediano
15%
Draws
48%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cartagines come out ahead of Herediano on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Herediano's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Herediano Clean Sheet 16%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herediano Cartagines
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 16 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Herediano
1:0
May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Cartagines
0:0
May 3, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Herediano
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Herediano
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Cartagines
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herediano 41 / 100
Cartagines 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herediano Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herediano scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Cartagines conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Herediano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Herediano VS Cartagines
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Herediano

(Home)
18 Oct
Zeledon
0 : 3
Herediano
15 Oct
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Herediano
11 Oct
Herediano
0 : 1
San Carlos
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Herediano
Page 1 of 7

Cartagines

(Away)
22 Oct
Cartagines
1 : 0
Olimpia
18 Oct
Cartagines
1 : 0
Saprissa
14 Oct
Cartagines
3 : 1
Puntarenas FC
10 Oct
Sporting FC
3 : 1
Cartagines
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 12 8 0 4 26:12 24
2 Cartagines 12 8 0 4 23:14 24
3 Sporting FC 12 6 3 3 22:18 21
4 Alajuelense 12 5 4 3 20:14 19
5 San Carlos 12 6 1 5 13:14 19
6 Inter San Carlos 12 5 3 4 14:17 18
7 Puntarenas FC 12 4 3 5 12:18 15
8 Herediano 12 3 2 7 12:16 11
9 Escorpiones 12 3 1 8 12:18 10
10 Zeledon 12 2 3 7 9:22 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)