Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Agurcia S.
37'
37'
Fuller K.
46'
46'
Sub
Fuller K. In: Suarez A.
Out: Fuller K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marathon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Herediano lately — more wins on the board than Marathon.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Marathon taking it.
- Herediano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Herediano Clean Sheet 11%
Marathon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Herediano | Marathon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Herediano vs Marathon
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Herediano 14 / 100
Marathon 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Herediano Marathon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marathon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Herediano scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Marathon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.
Herediano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Herediano VS Marathon
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Herediano
(Home) 20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0 Herediano
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2 Herediano
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3 Zeledon
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0 Herediano
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1 Antigua
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3 Zeledon
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1 Antigua
23 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3 Sporting FC
10 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3 Alajuelense
31 Jul
Herediano
0 : 0 Marathon
Page 1 of 3
Marathon
(Away) 21 Sept
Juticalpa
3 : 2 Marathon
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1 Marathon
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0 Olimpia
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2 Alajuelense
06 Sept
Marathon
5 : 0 Estrella
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Juticalpa
3 : 2 Marathon
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1 Marathon
29 Aug
Genesis FC
1 : 2 Marathon
16 Aug
CD Choloma
0 : 1 Marathon
14 Aug
Antigua
0 : 3 Marathon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alajuelense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Xelaju | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Diriangen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Marathon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Herediano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Esteli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Antigua | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Saprissa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Alianza | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 5 | UMECIT | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cartagines | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Motagua | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Municipal | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 4 | FAS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 5 | Verdes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
