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Herediano vs Puntarenas FC

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Castrillo D.
45' Event
Vargas S.
46'
Sub
Bravo E. In: Leal R.
Out: Bravo E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Herediano
6%
Draws
4%
Puntarenas FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Herediano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Puntarenas FC haven't matched Herediano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Herediano a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Herediano Clean Sheet 68%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herediano Puntarenas FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 20 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Herediano
0:1
Feb 11, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Puntarenas FC vs Herediano
3:0
Feb 3, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Puntarenas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Castrillo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herediano 95 / 100
Puntarenas FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herediano Puntarenas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Herediano scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Puntarenas FC has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Herediano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herediano VS Puntarenas FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Herediano

(Home)
24 Jul
Herediano
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
12 Jul
Alajuelense
0 : 1
Herediano
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
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Puntarenas FC

(Away)
24 Jul
Herediano
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
26 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Saprissa
24 Apr
Alajuelense
5 : 2
Puntarenas FC
19 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 2
Sporting FC
12 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 3
Puntarenas FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saprissa11005:13
2Cartagines11003:13
3Alajuelense10101:11
4Herediano10101:11
5Puntarenas FC10101:11
6Sporting FC10101:11
7San Carlos00000:00
8Escorpiones00000:00
9Inter San Carlos10011:30
10Zeledon10011:50
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)