Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Herediano vs Puntarenas FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
3 - 0
02:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Castrillo D.
45' Event
Vargas S.
46'
Sub
Bravo E. In: Leal R.
Out: Bravo E.

AI Match Summary

Herediano host Puntarenas FC in the Primera Division. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Herediano have averaged 1.15 scored and 0.85 conceded recently, against Puntarenas FC's 1.18 scored and 1.46 conceded. Past meetings favor Herediano slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.19) back Herediano to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Herediano
15%
Draws
53%
Puntarenas FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puntarenas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Puntarenas FC haven't matched Herediano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Herediano a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Herediano here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Herediano Clean Sheet 20%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herediano Puntarenas FC
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 18 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.15 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
3:0
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Herediano
0:1
Feb 11, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Puntarenas FC vs Herediano
3:0
Feb 3, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Puntarenas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Castrillo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herediano 42 / 100
Puntarenas FC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herediano Puntarenas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Herediano scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Puntarenas FC has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Herediano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herediano VS Puntarenas FC
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Herediano

(Home)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Herediano
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0
Herediano
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

Puntarenas FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Escorpiones
12 Sept
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
30 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
22 Aug
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Zeledon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Sporting FC 10 6 2 2 19:9 20
3 Cartagines 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 8:9 15
5 Inter San Carlos 10 4 3 3 10:13 15
6 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)