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Herediano vs San Carlos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Herediano host San Carlos in the Primera Division. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Herediano at 1.17 goals for, 0.89 against; San Carlos at 1.03 for, 1.34 against. Head-to-head, Herediano have won 2 to San Carlos's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.13, favoring Herediano. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Herediano
15%
Draws
57%
San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Herediano come out ahead of San Carlos on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on San Carlos taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Herediano Clean Sheet 20%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herediano San Carlos
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Herediano
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs San Carlos
1:0
Feb 23, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Herediano
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs San Carlos
3:1
Aug 25, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Herediano
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herediano 28 / 100
San Carlos 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herediano San Carlos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Carlos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herediano scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Defensive concern: San Carlos conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Herediano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herediano VS San Carlos
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Herediano

(Home)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Herediano
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0
Herediano
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

San Carlos

(Away)
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
30 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
24 Aug
Alajuelense
0 : 1
San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Cartagines 9 6 0 3 18:10 18
3 Sporting FC 9 5 2 2 16:8 17
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 8:9 15
5 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
6 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)