Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Herediano vs Zeledon

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Alvarado J.
14'
Brown K.
18'
Sub
Renteria W. In: Angulo M.
Out: Renteria W.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Herediano and Zeledon finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zeledon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Herediano
20%
Draws
36%
Zeledon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Herediano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Zeledon haven't matched Herediano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Herediano a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Herediano have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Herediano Clean Sheet 20%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herediano Zeledon
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 19 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Zeledon
2:3
Apr 23, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Herediano
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Zeledon
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Herediano
1:3
Aug 17, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs Zeledon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesme F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Araya R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Zeledon Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarado J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amador A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herediano 36 / 100
Zeledon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herediano Zeledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zeledon let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Herediano scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

Recent resilience: Herediano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herediano VS Zeledon
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Herediano

(Home)
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0
Herediano
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1
Antigua
23 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3
Sporting FC
19 Aug
Esteli
0 : 2
Herediano
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Zeledon

(Away)
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Zeledon
1 : 1
Alajuelense
22 Aug
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Zeledon
16 Aug
Zeledon
0 : 1
Inter San Carlos
09 Aug
Escorpiones
0 : 0
Zeledon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 7 6 0 1 16:6 18
2 Cartagines 7 5 0 2 15:8 15
3 Inter San Carlos 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 San Carlos 8 4 0 4 7:9 12
5 Sporting FC 7 3 2 2 10:5 11
6 Alajuelense 7 3 2 2 9:7 11
7 Puntarenas FC 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
8 Zeledon 8 2 2 4 6:12 8
9 Herediano 8 2 1 5 8:12 7
10 Escorpiones 8 1 1 6 6:14 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)