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Herediano vs Zeledon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Alvarado J.
14'
Brown K.
18'
Sub
Renteria W. In: Angulo M.
Out: Renteria W.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Herediano and Zeledon finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zeledon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Herediano
20%
Draws
10%
Zeledon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Herediano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Zeledon haven't matched Herediano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Herediano a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Herediano have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Herediano Clean Sheet 20%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herediano Zeledon
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 3
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.17 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Herediano
0:3
Sep 5, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Zeledon
2:3
Apr 23, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Herediano
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Zeledon
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Herediano
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesme F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Araya R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zeledon Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarado J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amador A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herediano 85 / 100
Zeledon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herediano Zeledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herediano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zeledon let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Herediano scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Herediano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herediano VS Zeledon
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Herediano

(Home)
25 Oct
Herediano
3 : 1
Cartagines
18 Oct
Zeledon
0 : 3
Herediano
15 Oct
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Herediano
11 Oct
Herediano
0 : 1
San Carlos
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

Zeledon

(Away)
18 Oct
Zeledon
0 : 3
Herediano
14 Oct
Zeledon
1 : 4
Escorpiones
10 Oct
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 12 8 0 4 26:12 24
2 Cartagines 13 8 0 5 24:17 24
3 Sporting FC 13 7 3 3 26:20 24
4 Alajuelense 12 5 4 3 20:14 19
5 San Carlos 12 6 1 5 13:14 19
6 Puntarenas FC 13 5 3 5 15:19 18
7 Inter San Carlos 13 5 3 5 15:20 18
8 Herediano 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
9 Escorpiones 13 3 1 9 14:22 10
10 Zeledon 12 2 3 7 9:22 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)