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Hereford Pegasus vs Barry Town Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barry Town in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barry Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hereford Pegasus
30%
Draws
47%
Barry Town
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barry Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barry Town lately — more wins on the board than Hereford Pegasus.
  • 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hereford Pegasus Clean Sheet 13%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hereford Pegasus Barry Town
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 1 19
Draws 2 2
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Hereford Pegasus vs Barry Town
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hereford Pegasus 30 / 100
Barry Town 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hereford Pegasus Barry Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hereford Pegasus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hereford Pegasus found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (6 games).

Barry Town let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Barry Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hereford Pegasus VS Barry Town
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hereford Pegasus

(Home)
11 Jul
Hereford Pegasus
1 : 1
Hereford
23 Jul
Hereford Pegasus
0 : 1
Barry Town
19 Aug
Hereford Pegasus
1 : 2
Sporting Khalsa
16 Aug
Sporting Khalsa
0 : 0
Hereford Pegasus
26 Sept
Telford
4 : 1
Hereford Pegasus
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Barry Town

(Away)
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1
Llandudno FC
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0
Barry Town
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