Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2025/2026 Edgar Street, Hereford

Hereford

Sat, Jan 10, 2026

2 - 3

03:00 PM

AFC Fylde

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Ormerod D.

38'

Taylor M.

46'

D'Ath L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with AFC Fylde advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Hereford

20%

Draws

35%

AFC Fylde

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hereford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and AFC Fylde come out ahead of Hereford on wins alone.
Model gives Hereford a 45% chance of winning this.
AFC Fylde arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor AFC Fylde, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Hereford Clean Sheet 20%

AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hereford	AFC Fylde
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	12	18
Draws	5	3
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.5	2.37
Goals Conceded	1.39	1.3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 National League North

Hereford vs AFC Fylde

1:4

Jan 10, 2026 FA Trophy

Hereford vs AFC Fylde

2:3

Oct 25, 2025 National League North

AFC Fylde vs Hereford

2:1

Feb 21, 2023 National League North

AFC Fylde vs Hereford

1:3

Oct 25, 2022 National League North

Hereford vs AFC Fylde

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hereford Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Ath L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hudson L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

AFC Fylde Compare

Top Goalscorer Ormerod D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Taylor M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hereford 49 / 100

AFC Fylde 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hereford AFC Fylde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hereford Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hereford scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

AFC Fylde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Hereford stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hereford VS AFC Fylde

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hereford

(Home)

31 Aug

Southport

0 : 1

Hereford

29 Aug

Hereford

1 : 1

Chester

22 Aug

Worksop

0 : 3

Hereford

18 Aug

Hereford

3 : 0

Radcliffe

15 Aug

Hereford

1 : 0

Marine

Page 1 of 6

AFC Fylde

(Away)

31 Aug

Solihull Moors

1 : 3

AFC Fylde

28 Aug

AFC Fylde

2 : 0

Forest Green

22 Aug

Woking

3 : 2

AFC Fylde

15 Aug

Tamworth

1 : 2

AFC Fylde

08 Aug

AFC Fylde

2 : 2

Wealdstone

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Sudbury 2

Leiston 1

TBD -

Hereford -

Radcliffe -

TBD -

Bradford PA 2

Morpeth 1

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Spennymoor -

TBD -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aldershot -

Buxton -

TBD -

Southport -

Leek Town 3

Bromsgrove 0

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Basingstoke 1

Dorchester 2

Brentwood 3

Welling 0

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Chesham -

TBD -

Telford -

TBD -

Altrincham -

Yeovil -

TBD -

Torquay -

TBD -

Maidstone -

Alvechurch 1

Worcester 0

Real Bedford 3

Ashford United 2

Redditch 1

Gainsborough 2

Alfreton -

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Oxford City -

TBD -

Peterborough Sports -

Chester -

TBD -

Clitheroe 4

Stockton 2

TBD -

York City -

Leatherhead 2

Canvey Island 1

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond -

King’s Lynn -

TBD -

Stanway Rovers 1

Harrow Borough 2

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Horsham FC -

TBD -

Farnham 3

Bishops Cleeve 2

Wimborne 1

Portchester 0

Waltham Abbey 0

Chatham 2

Plymouth Parkway 2

Poole Town 1

TBD -

Salisbury -

Harborough 4

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1

TBD -

Enfield Town -

TBD -

Carlisle -

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Eastbourne Borough -

Bath City -

TBD -

Bracknell Town 1

Banbury 0

Southend -

TBD -

Truro -

Halifax -

TBD -

United of Manchester 1

Bamber Bridge 0

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Bedford -

TBD -

Anstey Nomads 4

Stratford 0

Chorley -

TBD -

Worksop -

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Spalding United 0

Corby 1

Gateshead -

TBD -

Morecambe -

Ebbsfleet -

TBD -

Sittingbourne 2

Cray Valley 1

TBD -

Braintree -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Chippenham Town -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Billericay 0

Stortford 5

Wingate & Finchley 0

Cheshunt 1

Dagenham & Red. -

TBD -

Tilbury 1

Hadley 0

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

St. Albans 0

Hanwell Town 2

Tamworth -

TBD -

Boston United -

Leamington -

TBD -

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Rochdale -

Ilkeston 3

St Ives Town 1

TBD -

Curzon Ashton -

Marine -

TBD -

Hyde 0

Stocksbridge 3

Slough Town -

TBD -

Gloucester City 1

Havant & Waterlooville 0

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Walton & Hersham 5

Hendon 1

TBD -

Farnborough -

TBD -

Sutton -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Brackley -

Woking -

TBD -

Burgess Hill 1

Folkestone 4

TBD -

AFC Totton -

South Shields -

TBD -

Dunston 1

Hebburn Town 0

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Prescot Cables 2

Guiseley 1

1/64-finals

Sudbury 1

Hereford 5

Radcliffe 3

Bradford PA 2

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Spennymoor 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aldershot -

Buxton 2

Southport 3

Leek Town 1

Scarborough Athletic 0

Dover Ath. 2

Dorchester 0

Brentwood 0

Hornchurch 1

Chesham 1

Telford 2

TBD -

Altrincham -

Yeovil -

TBD -

Torquay 0

Maidstone 2

Alvechurch 2

Real Bedford 1

Gainsborough 1

Alfreton 2

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Oxford City 1

Peterborough Sports 2

Chester 0

Clitheroe 1

TBD -

York City -

Leatherhead 2

Hampton & Richmond 0

King’s Lynn 2

Harrow Borough 3

Hemel Hempstead 1

Chelmsford 0

Horsham FC 2

Farnham 0

Wimborne 0

Chatham 1

Plymouth Parkway 4

Salisbury 3

Harborough 3

Enfield Town 0

TBD -

Carlisle -

Dorking Wanderers 3

Eastbourne Borough 2

Bath City 2

Bracknell Town 1

Southend -

TBD -

Truro -

Halifax -

TBD -

United of Manchester 3

Darlington FC 2

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Bedford 0

Anstey Nomads 1

Chorley 2

Worksop 3

Kidderminster 3

Corby 0

Gateshead -

TBD -

Morecambe -

Ebbsfleet 2

Sittingbourne 1

TBD -

Braintree -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Chippenham Town 0

Weston-super-Mare 1

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Stortford 1

Cheshunt 2

Dagenham & Red. 2

Tilbury 0

Merthyr Town 2

Hanwell Town 3

Tamworth -

TBD -

Boston United -

Leamington 2

Maidenhead 0

TBD -

Rochdale -

Ilkeston 0

Curzon Ashton 1

Marine 2

Stocksbridge 0

Slough Town 1

Gloucester City 2

Tonbridge 0

Worthing FC 4

Walton & Hersham 2

Farnborough 1

TBD -

Sutton -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Brackley -

Woking -

TBD -

Folkestone 1

AFC Totton 2

South Shields 6

Dunston 2

Macclesfield 1

Prescot Cables 0

1/32-finals

Hereford 2

Radcliffe 1

Solihull Moors 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh 2

Aldershot 1

Southport 3

Leek Town 1

Dover Ath. 1

Hornchurch 4

Telford 4

Altrincham 3

Yeovil 2

Maidstone 1

Alvechurch 3

Alfreton 2

Scunthorpe 5

Peterborough Sports 0

Clitheroe 2

York City 1

Leatherhead 3

Harrow Borough 2

Hemel Hempstead 0

Horsham FC 2

Chatham 3

Plymouth Parkway 0

Harborough 1

Carlisle 2

Dorking Wanderers 1

Bath City 2

Southend 4

Truro 0

Halifax 4

United of Manchester 0

Hartlepool 1

Anstey Nomads 2

Worksop 0

Kidderminster 1

Gateshead 0

Morecambe 3

Ebbsfleet 3

Braintree 1

Forest Green 4

Weston-super-Mare 0

Wealdstone 2

Cheshunt 1

Dagenham & Red. 3

Hanwell Town 1

Tamworth 2

Boston United 1

Leamington 0

Rochdale 1

Curzon Ashton 1

Marine 2

Gloucester City 4

Worthing FC 3

Walton & Hersham 4

Sutton 1

Boreham Wood 3

Brackley 4

Woking 2

AFC Totton 0

South Shields 0

Macclesfield 1

1/16-finals

Hereford 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh 0

Southport 2

Hornchurch 1

Telford 2

Yeovil 1

Alvechurch 0

Scunthorpe 3

Clitheroe 1

Leatherhead 2

Horsham FC 3

Chatham 1

Carlisle 0

Bath City 1

Southend 3

Halifax 4

Anstey Nomads 0

Kidderminster 6

Morecambe 2

Ebbsfleet 0

Forest Green 2

Wealdstone 1

Dagenham & Red. 0

Tamworth 2

Rochdale 1

Marine 2

Gloucester City 1

Walton & Hersham 1

Brackley 0

Woking 2

Macclesfield 1

1/8-finals

AFC Fylde 0

Southport 1

Telford 0

Yeovil 2

Scunthorpe 1

Horsham FC 2

Chatham 0

Southend 1

Halifax 1

Kidderminster 2

Forest Green 0

Wealdstone 3

Tamworth 0

Marine 1

Walton & Hersham 1

Woking 2

Quarter-finals

Southport 2

Yeovil 1

Horsham FC 1

Southend 2

Kidderminster 1

Wealdstone 2

Marine 1

Woking 0

Semi-finals

Southport 1

Southend 3

Wealdstone 1

Marine 0

Final

Southend 1

Wealdstone 0

Hereford vs AFC Fylde

England

Hereford

AFC Fylde

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Hereford Compare

AFC Fylde Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Hereford

AFC Fylde

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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