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Hereford vs Telford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hereford host Telford in the National League North. Little to choose between these two on current form. Hereford have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Telford's 1.11 scored and 1.74 conceded. Past meetings favor Hereford slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 0.81) point toward Hereford. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hereford
20%
Draws
29%
Telford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hereford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Telford haven't matched Hereford's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hereford a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hereford Clean Sheet 20%
Telford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hereford Telford
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.54 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 National League North
Telford vs Hereford
3:0
Oct 21, 2025 National League North
Hereford vs Telford
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 National League North
Hereford vs Telford
0:0
Nov 12, 2022 National League North
Telford vs Hereford
0:1
Apr 15, 2022 National League North
Hereford vs Telford
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hereford 49 / 100
Telford 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hereford Telford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hereford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hereford's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Telford conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Hereford has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Telford lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hereford VS Telford
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hereford

(Home)
10 Oct
Hereford
0 : 1
Hednesford
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1
Hereford
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2
Hereford
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
Page 1 of 6

Telford

(Away)
17 Oct
Telford
2 : 1
Darlington FC
10 Oct
Chorley
2 : 1
Telford
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5
King’s Lynn
22 Sept
Worksop
5 : 2
Telford
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2
Worksop
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 11 7 3 1 17:9 24
2 Hereford 11 7 2 2 22:6 23
3 Oxford City 11 7 2 2 21:7 23
4 King’s Lynn 12 6 2 4 22:16 20
5 Chester 11 6 2 3 14:9 20
6 South Shields 11 6 2 3 18:17 20
7 Hednesford 12 5 3 4 21:19 18
8 Hebburn Town 12 5 3 4 16:21 18
9 Spalding United 11 5 2 4 14:9 17
10 Chorley 11 5 2 4 18:18 17
11 Buxton 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
12 Bedford 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
13 Worksop 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
14 Scarborough Athletic 12 4 3 5 18:16 15
15 Merthyr Town 12 3 6 3 14:13 15
16 Marine 11 5 0 6 13:12 15
17 Harborough 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
18 Brackley 12 4 3 5 15:23 15
19 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 15:11 14
20 Radcliffe 12 4 0 8 15:21 12
21 Telford 12 3 3 6 11:18 12
22 Southport 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
23 Darlington FC 12 2 2 8 14:24 8
24 Spennymoor 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
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