Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Herlev vs Avedore

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division East
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Wind M.

AI Match Summary

Avedore in this 2nd Division East matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avedore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Herlev
15%
Draws
0%
Avedore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Herlev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avedore lately — more wins on the board than Herlev.
  • Herlev are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Herlev Clean Sheet 11%
Avedore Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herlev Avedore
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 2 8
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2015 2nd Division East
Herlev vs Avedore
0:1
Aug 16, 2014 2nd Division East
Avedore vs Herlev
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herlev Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Avedore Compare

Top Goalscorer Wind M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herlev 83 / 100
Avedore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herlev Avedore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herlev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Avedore conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Avedore's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Herlev remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Herlev VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Herlev

(Home)
19 Jan
Vanlose
0 : 4
Herlev
01 Aug
Herlev
0 : 2
Gladsaxe
03 Sept
Herlev
1 : 4
Ishoj IF
06 Aug
Vigerslev
0 : 1
Herlev
09 Mar
Herlev
2 : 1
Bronshoj
Page 1 of 7

Avedore

(Away)
01 Sept
Birkerod
1 : 0
Avedore
07 Aug
Avedore
0 : 1
Slagelse
27 Jan
Hvidovre IF
7 : 0
Avedore
10 Aug
Avedore
1 : 3
B 1908
02 Sept
Avedore
0 : 3
Slagelse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Helsingor 30 22 5 3 59:22 71
2 BK Frem 30 18 7 5 58:28 61
3 Hvidovre IF 30 16 9 5 67:38 57
4 Fremad Amager 30 16 8 6 55:35 56
5 Nykobing 30 17 4 9 69:34 55
6 Hellerup 30 13 9 8 61:36 48
7 Boldklubben 1893 30 11 10 9 36:35 43
8 Avarta 30 11 9 10 57:48 42
9 Holbaek 30 10 11 9 41:44 41
10 B 1908 30 8 13 9 42:36 37
11 Rishoj 30 9 9 12 31:40 36
12 Avedore 30 9 9 12 33:46 36
13 Gentofte-Vangede 30 6 8 16 28:57 26
14 Sollerod-Ved. 30 4 9 17 30:62 21
15 Herlev 30 2 8 20 29:78 14
16 Svebolle 30 2 4 24 20:77 10
Promotion - Bet25 Liga 2015/2016 (Main)