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Hermanuv Mestec vs Chocen

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Pardubicky KP
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hermanuv Mestec host Chocen in the Pardubicky KP. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Chocen have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Hermanuv Mestec have conceded 1.41 and scored 2.63. Past meetings favor Chocen slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 2.25, favoring Hermanuv Mestec. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hermanuv Mestec
15%
Draws
46%
Chocen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chocen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Chocen haven't matched Hermanuv Mestec's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hermanuv Mestec Clean Sheet 10%
Chocen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hermanuv Mestec Chocen
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 21 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.41 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Pardubicky KP
Chocen vs Hermanuv Mestec
0:3
Oct 12, 2025 Pardubicky KP
Hermanuv Mestec vs Chocen
6:1
Jun 6, 2025 Pardubicky KP
Hermanuv Mestec vs Chocen
1:4
Nov 9, 2024 Pardubicky KP
Chocen vs Hermanuv Mestec
4:1
Jun 15, 2024 Pardubicky KP
Hermanuv Mestec vs Chocen
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hermanuv Mestec 30 / 100
Chocen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hermanuv Mestec Chocen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hermanuv Mestec scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Chocen let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Hermanuv Mestec has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hermanuv Mestec VS Chocen
2.25 Goals Scored 3.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hermanuv Mestec

(Home)
16 Aug
Lanskroun
0 : 2
Hermanuv Mestec
12 Aug
Hermanuv Mestec
0 : 3
Zapy
09 Aug
Hermanuv Mestec
5 : 2
Prelovice
01 Aug
Hermanuv Mestec
3 : 0
Hlinsko
13 Jun
Hermanuv Mestec
2 : 2
Letohrad
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Chocen

(Away)
15 Aug
Chocen
1 : 2
Skutec
08 Aug
Lanskroun
1 : 2
Chocen
10 Jun
Prelouc
5 : 7
Chocen
07 Jun
Chocen
2 : 1
Moravska Trebova
30 May
Skutec
1 : 5
Chocen
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