Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2025/2026

Herne Bay

0 - 3

Ashford United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ashford United in this FA Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Herne Bay

15%

Draws

39%

Ashford United

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Herne Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Herne Bay haven't matched Ashford United's recent run of results.
46% — that's where the model lands on Herne Bay taking it.
Ashford United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Ashford United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%

Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 53%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Herne Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Ashford United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Herne Bay	Ashford United
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	11	15
Draws	4	2
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	1.57	2.11
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.64
Expected Goals (xG)	1.71	1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 FA Trophy

Herne Bay vs Ashford United

0:3

Sep 18, 2022 FA Cup

Herne Bay vs Ashford United

2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herne Bay 56 / 100

Ashford United 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Herne Bay Ashford United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herne Bay Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Herne Bay scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Ashford United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Herne Bay stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herne Bay VS Ashford United

1.43 Goals Scored 2.25

1.71 Goals Conceded 2

71% Over 1.5 100%

57% Over 2.5 88%

43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Herne Bay

(Home)

12 Sept

Herne Bay

0 : 1

Southall FC

29 Aug

Herne Bay

4 : 3

Kingstonian

28 Jul

Dover Ath.

2 : 2

Herne Bay

07 Jul

Chatham

0 : 2

Herne Bay

06 Sept

Herne Bay

0 : 3

Ashford United

Page 1 of 6

Ashford United

(Away)

26 Sept

Ashford United

0 : 1

Deal Town

12 Sept

Ascot United

1 : 3

Ashford United

29 Aug

Crowborough

2 : 4

Ashford United

01 Aug

Dartford

4 : 0

Ashford United

25 Jul

Maidstone

4 : 0

Ashford United

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Hyde -

TBD -

Warrington Town -

Ashton United -

TBD -

FC Congleton Town 3

Vauxhall 1

Avro 1

Clitheroe 3

Bootle 2

Witton Albion 3

Dunston 4

Brighouse Town 1

TBD -

Warrington Rylands -

Workington -

TBD -

United of Manchester -

Stockton -

TBD -

Stalybridge 2

Trafford 0

Pontefract Collieries 0

Lower Breck 2

Silsden 1

Atherton Collieries 0

Ossett United 1

Nantwich 3

TBD -

Stocksbridge -

Runcorn Linnets 2

Garforth 1

Wythenshawe Town 1

Bury FC 2

TBD -

Morpeth -

Widnes FC -

TBD -

Bamber Bridge -

Bridlington Town 1

Mossley AFC 0

North Ferriby FC 1

Blyth Spartans 0

TBD -

Guiseley -

Bradford PA 2

Redcar Athletic 1

Consett 4

Hallam 0

Heaton Stannington 2

AFC Emley 0

Newton Aycliffe 3

Blyth Town 0

Whitby -

TBD -

Hebburn Town -

Prescot Cables -

TBD -

Lancaster -

Evesham -

TBD -

Ilkeston -

Gainsborough -

TBD -

Shifnal Town 1

Chasetown 0

Long Eaton 2

Carlton Town 3

Barwell -

TBD -

Bromsgrove -

Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 1

Neots 0

Stafford 1

Boldmere St Michaels 0

TBD -

Stratford -

Rushall -

TBD -

Spalding United -

Bedworth United 1

Darlaston Town (1874) 0

Shepshed 0

Anstey Nomads 4

TBD -

Stourbridge -

Quorn -

TBD -

Lichfield City 1

Corby 2

Sutton Coldfield Town 3

Kidsgrove Athletic 2

Real Bedford -

TBD -

Stamford -

Coleshill Town 1

Sporting Khalsa 0

Bourne 0

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2

Coventry Sphinx 0

Lincoln Utd. 2

Malvern Town 5

Loughborough Students 1

Halesowen -

TBD -

Leek Town -

St Ives Town -

TBD -

Kettering -

Worcester -

TBD -

Rugby 4

Racing Club Warwick 1

Belper Town 2

Newcastle Town 1

Matlock 3

Grimsby Borough 0

Mickleover 2

Basford Utd. 3

TBD -

Alvechurch -

Harborough -

TBD -

Hednesford -

Cleethorpes -

TBD -

Redditch -

Stanway Rovers 4

Aylesbury United 0

Stotfold 0

Mildenhall 2

TBD -

Uxbridge -

Royston Town -

TBD -

Welling -

Hanwell Town -

TBD -

Grays 2

Milton Keynes Irish 1

Hertford Town 1

Felixstowe & Walton 3

Westfield 4

Margate 2

Bognor Regis 3

Sevenoaks 2

TBD -

Brentwood -

Leatherhead 4

Raynes Park Vale 0

Kingstonian 1

Merstham 0

TBD -

Ramsgate -

Aveley -

TBD -

St. Albans -

Carshalton -

TBD -

Cheshunt -

South Park 1

Broadbridge Heath 2

Bedfont Sports 1

Horndean 0

TBD -

Billericay -

Ware 1

Hadley 5

Ascot United 2

Three Bridges 0

TBD -

Dartford -

Harrow Borough 1

Eastbourne Town 0

Jersey Bulls 3

Hastings 1

Bowers & Pitsea 0

Cambridge City 3

FC Witham Town 3

Newmarket 2

Lewes -

TBD -

Leiston -

Cray Valley -

TBD -

Berkhamsted Town -

Sudbury -

TBD -

Bury Town -

Chertsey Town -

TBD -

Takeley 0

Welwyn Garden 2

London Lions 0

Tilbury 3

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Potters -

Stortford -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

East Grinstead Town 4

Binfield 3

VCD Athletic 1

Rayners Lane 0

Chatham -

TBD -

Needham Market -

Erith Town 1

Deal Town 2

Herne Bay 0

Ashford United 3

Concord Rangers 2

Biggleswade FC 3

Biggleswade Town 1

Hitchin 3

Hayes & Yeading 1

Metropolitan Police 0

Southall FC 1

Whyteleafe 0

TBD -

Walton & Hersham -

Hassocks 1

Crowborough 3

Sittingbourne 2

Faversham 1

TBD -

Hashtag -

Redbridge 1

Waltham Abbey 4

Lowestoft 2

Leverstock Green 0

Walthamstow FC 3

Dowham Town FC 2

Brightlingsea 0

Leighton Town 3

Whitehawk -

TBD -

Canvey Island -

Dulwich Hamlet -

TBD -

Northwood 0

Beckenham Town 1

Littlehampton 1

Hendon 2

Enfield FC 1

Wroxham 0

Maldon & Tiptree 0

AFC Dunstable 1

TBD -

Folkestone -

Bracknell Town -

TBD -

Hungerford -

Basingstoke -

TBD -

Bristol Manor Farm 0

Shaftesbury Town 2

Brixham 0

Falmouth Town 4

Hartpury University 2

Didcot 1

Portishead Town 4

Melksham 0

TBD -

Gloucester City -

Plymouth Parkway -

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

Dorchester -

TBD -

Exmouth Town 1

Swindon Supermarine 2

Bideford 3

Mousehole 1

Moneyfields 2

Thame United 3

Winchester City 2

Frome Town 0

TBD -

Banbury -

Fareham 4

Beaconsfield Town 1

Willand Rovers 1

Bishops Cleeve 2

TBD -

Sholing -

Yate -

TBD -

Poole Town -

Portchester 1

Flackwell Heath 0

Tavistock 2

Larkhall 1

TBD -

Taunton Town -

Chichester City -

TBD -

Farnham -

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Wimborne -

TBD -

Weymouth -

Semi-finals

Hyde -

TBD -

Warrington Town -

Ashton United -

TBD -

FC Congleton Town 1

Clitheroe 3

Witton Albion 0

Dunston 1

TBD -

Warrington Rylands -

Workington -

TBD -

United of Manchester -

Stockton -

TBD -

Stalybridge 0

Lower Breck 3

Silsden 3

Nantwich 0

TBD -

Stocksbridge -

Runcorn Linnets 7

Bury FC 0

TBD -

Morpeth -

Widnes FC -

TBD -

Bamber Bridge -

Bridlington Town 2

North Ferriby FC 0

TBD -

Guiseley -

Bradford PA 2

Consett 0

Heaton Stannington 4

Newton Aycliffe 0

Whitby -

TBD -

Hebburn Town -

Prescot Cables -

TBD -

Lancaster -

Evesham -

TBD -

Ilkeston -

Gainsborough -

TBD -

Shifnal Town 2

Carlton Town 1

Barwell -

TBD -

Bromsgrove -

Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 4

Stafford 3

TBD -

Stratford -

Rushall -

TBD -

Spalding United -

Bedworth United 0

Anstey Nomads 3

TBD -

Stourbridge -

Quorn -

TBD -

Corby 3

Sutton Coldfield Town 0

Real Bedford -

TBD -

Stamford -

Coleshill Town 3

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 4

Lincoln Utd. 0

Malvern Town 2

Halesowen -

TBD -

Leek Town -

St Ives Town -

TBD -

Kettering -

Worcester -

TBD -

Rugby 3

Belper Town 2

Matlock 1

Basford Utd. 2

TBD -

Alvechurch -

Harborough -

TBD -

Hednesford -

Cleethorpes -

TBD -

Redditch -

Stanway Rovers 3

Mildenhall 0

TBD -

Uxbridge -

Royston Town -

TBD -

Welling -

Hanwell Town -

TBD -

Grays 2

Felixstowe & Walton 0

Westfield 2

Bognor Regis 1

TBD -

Brentwood -

Leatherhead 2

Kingstonian 0

TBD -

Ramsgate -

Aveley -

TBD -

St. Albans -

Carshalton -

TBD -

Cheshunt -

Broadbridge Heath 2

Bedfont Sports 1

TBD -

Billericay -

Hadley 3

Ascot United 2

TBD -

Dartford -

Harrow Borough 4

Jersey Bulls 0

Cambridge City 3

FC Witham Town 4

Lewes -

TBD -

Leiston -

Cray Valley -

TBD -

Berkhamsted Town -

Sudbury -

TBD -

Bury Town -

Chertsey Town -

TBD -

Welwyn Garden 2

Tilbury 3

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Potters -

Stortford -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

East Grinstead Town 1

VCD Athletic 2

Chatham -

TBD -

Needham Market -

Deal Town 2

Ashford United 3

Biggleswade FC 3

Hitchin 1

Hayes & Yeading 5

Southall FC 1

TBD -

Walton & Hersham -

Crowborough 1

Sittingbourne 6

TBD -

Hashtag -

Waltham Abbey 4

Lowestoft 1

Walthamstow FC 5

Leighton Town 3

Whitehawk -

TBD -

Canvey Island -

Dulwich Hamlet -

TBD -

Beckenham Town 2

Hendon 5

Enfield FC 1

AFC Dunstable 3

TBD -

Folkestone -

Bracknell Town -

TBD -

Hungerford -

Basingstoke -

TBD -

Shaftesbury Town 3

Falmouth Town 2

Hartpury University 4

Portishead Town 2

TBD -

Gloucester City -

Plymouth Parkway -

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

Dorchester -

TBD -

Swindon Supermarine 1

Bideford 2

Thame United 3

Winchester City 1

TBD -

Banbury -

Fareham 2

Bishops Cleeve 4

TBD -

Sholing -

Yate -

TBD -

Poole Town -

Portchester 3

Tavistock 0

TBD -

Taunton Town -

Chichester City -

TBD -

Farnham -

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Wimborne -

TBD -

Weymouth -

Final

Hyde 1

Warrington Town 0

Ashton United 1

Clitheroe 2

Dunston 2

Warrington Rylands 1

Workington 0

United of Manchester 2

Stockton 2

Lower Breck 0

Silsden 1

Stocksbridge 2

Runcorn Linnets 1

Morpeth 2

Widnes FC 0

Bamber Bridge 3

Bridlington Town 2

Guiseley 4

Bradford PA 2

Heaton Stannington 1

Whitby 1

Hebburn Town 2

Prescot Cables 2

Lancaster 0

Evesham 0

Ilkeston 2

Gainsborough 3

Shifnal Town 2

Barwell 0

Bromsgrove 3

Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 1

Stratford 2

Rushall 0

Spalding United 2

Anstey Nomads 3

Stourbridge 2

Quorn 2

Corby 3

Real Bedford 3

Stamford 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Malvern Town 1

Halesowen 1

Leek Town 2

St Ives Town 1

Kettering 0

Worcester 3

Rugby 2

Basford Utd. 0

Alvechurch 1

Harborough 2

Hednesford 0

Cleethorpes 0

Redditch 1

Stanway Rovers 1

Uxbridge 0

Royston Town 0

Welling 3

Hanwell Town 2

Grays 1

Westfield 1

Brentwood 2

Leatherhead 4

Ramsgate 1

Aveley 0

St. Albans 2

Carshalton 1

Cheshunt 2

Broadbridge Heath 1

Billericay 3

Hadley 2

Dartford 1

Harrow Borough 3

FC Witham Town 1

Lewes 1

Leiston 2

Cray Valley 1

Berkhamsted Town 0

Sudbury 4

Bury Town 0

Chertsey Town 1

Tilbury 2

Burgess Hill 2

Potters 1

Stortford 4

Cray Wanderers 0

Wingate & Finchley 4

VCD Athletic 1

Chatham 1

Needham Market 0

Ashford United 4

Biggleswade FC 3

Hayes & Yeading 0

Walton & Hersham 1

Sittingbourne 1

Hashtag 0

Waltham Abbey 6

Walthamstow FC 0

Whitehawk 0

Canvey Island 2

Dulwich Hamlet 0

Hendon 1

AFC Dunstable 1

Folkestone 3

Bracknell Town 6

Hungerford 3

Basingstoke 2

Shaftesbury Town 1

Hartpury University 0

Gloucester City 1

Plymouth Parkway 3

Gosport Borough 2

Dorchester 4

Bideford 0

Thame United 0

Banbury 2

Bishops Cleeve 2

Sholing 1

Yate 1

Poole Town 2

Portchester 2

Taunton Town 1

Chichester City 2

Farnham 4

Havant & Waterlooville 4

Tiverton 2

Wimborne 2

Weymouth 0

Herne Bay vs Ashford United

England

Herne Bay

Ashford United

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Herne Bay

Ashford United

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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