Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2022/2023

Herne Bay

2 - 1

Horsham FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The FA Cup 2022/2023 game between Herne Bay and Horsham FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Herne Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Herne Bay

17%

Draws

70%

Horsham FC

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Horsham FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Herne Bay come out ahead of Horsham FC on wins alone.
Model gives Horsham FC a 70% chance of winning this.
It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal FA Cup 2022/2023 game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Herne Bay here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Herne Bay Clean Sheet 20%

Horsham FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Herne Bay	Horsham FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	9
Draws	4	6
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	2	0.88
Goals Conceded	0	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division

Herne Bay vs Horsham FC

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Nov 19, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division

Horsham FC vs Herne Bay

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

4:1

Sep 3, 2022 FA Cup

Herne Bay vs Horsham FC

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Sep 16, 2017 FA Cup

Horsham FC vs Herne Bay

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 0 - 0

2:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herne Bay 16 / 100

Horsham FC 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Herne Bay Horsham FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horsham FC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Herne Bay scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Herne Bay remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Herne Bay VS Horsham FC

2 Goals Scored 0.88

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

Oldham-

TBD-

Chester-

TBD-

Charnock Richard3

Pontefract Collieries4

Stourbridge3

Hanley Town4

Atherstone3

Kimberley Miners Welfare1

Cheshunt-

TBD-

Stortford0

Neots2

Kidderminster-

TBD-

Tamworth6

Boldmere St Michaels0

Stafford0

Newcastle Town2

Nantwich0

FC Congleton Town2

AFC Fylde-

TBD-

Farsley-

King’s Lynn-

TBD-

Kempston1

Bedford2

Barwell4

Highgate1

TBD-

Kettering-

Stocksbridge2

Atherton Collieries1

Marine2

Radcliffe1

Ashton United0

Ashington3

TBD-

Bradford PA-

Clitheroe3

Heaton Stannington2

TBD-

Spennymoor-

Stalybridge0

Lancaster1

Bury AFC2

North Shields1

TBD-

York City-

Shildon2

Penistone Church1

South Shields3

Workington2

Whitby5

Bishop Auckland0

Marske United2

Runcorn Linnets1

TBD-

Scunthorpe-

Solihull Moors-

TBD-

Basford Utd.5

Romulus0

Grantham Town3

Rugby4

Lichfield City3

Stourport2

TBD-

Boston United-

Rushall1

Redditch4

TBD-

Peterborough Sports-

Hemel Hempstead-

TBD-

Hertford Town0

Royston Town3

Scarborough Athletic-

TBD-

Dunston3

City Of Liverpool0

Witton Albion0

United of Manchester1

TBD-

Curzon Ashton-

Liversedge2

Glossop North End1

TBD-

Chorley-

Blyth Spartans-

TBD-

Guiseley2

Avro1

TBD-

Wrexham-

Altrincham-

TBD-

Gateshead-

Anstey Nomads3

Whitchurch Alport1

Matlock0

Ilkeston2

Edgware Town1

Grays4

Dunstable Town0

Shefford2

TBD-

Chesterfield-

Mickleover2

Alvechurch3

Lye Town1

Harborough2

Leamington-

TBD-

Nuneaton3

Belper Town1

Hednesford1

Long Eaton3

Gainsborough3

Loughborough Students1

Brackley-

TBD-

Worksop5

Worcester Raiders0

Goole0

Prescot Cables1

Bamber Bridge1

Whickham0

Buxton-

TBD-

Alfreton-

Warrington Rylands0

Hyde4

Morpeth3

Warrington Town4

Darlington FC-

TBD-

Southport-

Notts County-

TBD-

Shepshed1

Coalville Town3

West Didsbury & Chorlton0

Macclesfield1

St. Albans-

TBD-

Bury Town0

Sudbury3

Canvey Island5

Enfield Town1

St Ives Town4

Barking0

Telford-

TBD-

Stone Old Alleynians0

Chasetown1

TBD-

Halifax-

Bromley-

TBD-

Sheppey United2

Lewes10

Three Bridges2

Erith Town1

Hereford-

TBD-

Bromsgrove4

Stamford3

Torquay-

TBD-

Bognor Regis6

Cray Wanderers2

TBD-

Hampton & Richmond-

Hamworthy United0

Gosport Borough4

Royal Wootton2

Paulton Rovers4

Yeovil-

TBD-

Taunton Town-

TBD-

Cinderford Town2

Laverstock & Ford3

Walton & Hersham3

Beaconsfield Town2

Midhurst & Easebourne0

Chatham6

Maidenhead-

TBD-

Slough Town-

TBD-

Worthing FC-

Eastbourne Borough-

TBD-

Marlow0

Uxbridge1

Dorking Wanderers-

TBD-

Eastleigh-

Cray Valley3

Hastings0

Eastbourne Town0

Hanwell Town2

Ebbsfleet-

TBD-

Dover Ath.-

Bath City-

TBD-

Roman Glass St George0

Hartley Wintney4

Phoenix Sports4

Rusthall1

Sevenoaks2

Kingstonian1

Woking-

TBD-

Southend-

Dartford-

TBD-

East Grinstead Town3

Beckenham Town5

Holyport0

Binfield1

TBD-

Tonbridge-

TBD-

Dagenham & Red.-

Potton United1

Hendon5

Wingate & Finchley1

Bowers & Pitsea0

Herne Bay2

Horsham FC1

Ashford United2

Hanworth Villa1

Metropolitan Police4

Corinthian3

Corinthian-Casuals1

Burgess Hill2

Chippenham Town-

TBD-

Slimbridge2

Sholing5

Ashford Town2

Westfield4

Carshalton5

VCD Athletic1

Havant & Waterlooville-

TBD-

Wincanton Town2

AFC Totton9

Baffins Milton Rovers1

Winchester City5

TBD-

Weymouth-

Welling-

TBD-

Fisher5

Spelthorne Sports1

Maldon & Tiptree2

Haringey Borough1

Ipswich Wanderers1

Hornchurch3

Hitchin0

Heybridge3

TBD-

Braintree-

Poole Town0

Salisbury2

TBD-

Oxford City-

North Leigh5

AFC Stoneham3

Didcot3

Plymouth Parkway4

Yate4

Aylesbury Vale3

Frome Town0

Tiverton1

Chesham5

Peacehaven & Telscombe2

Bracknell Town4

Harrow Borough1

Cleethorpes0

Stratford4

TBD-

Banbury-

Berkhamsted Town2

FC Witham Town1

TBD-

Concord Rangers-

Boreham Wood-

TBD-

Wealdstone-

Barnet-

TBD-

Basingstoke2

Weston-super-Mare4

Blackfield & Langley2

Shepton Mallet3

Bishops Cleeve3

Westbury United1

Torpoint1

Helston Athletic2

Needham Market3

Leiston1

Lowestoft0

Sheringham1

Waltham Abbey7

Buckhurst Hill2

Brightlingsea3

Mildenhall0

TBD-

Maidstone-

Aveley2

Potters3

Romford3

Hashtag2

Chelmsford-

TBD-

Harlow0

Kings Langley2

TBD-

Aldershot-

Hungerford-

TBD-

Gloucester City-

Merthyr Town5

Truro2

Larkhall0

Cirencester2

Dulwich Hamlet-

TBD-

Aylesbury United0

Margate1

Folkestone3

North Greenford Utd.1

Leatherhead1

Chichester City2

Willand Rovers1

Swindon Supermarine2

Wimborne0

Dorchester1

Farnborough-

TBD-

Hythe0

Hayes & Yeading2

Enfield FC2

AFC Rushden & Diamonds1

Billericay4

Leverstock Green1

East Thurrock Utd2

Biggleswade FC1

Dereham0

Biggleswade Town1

Quarter-finals

Oldham-

TBD-

Chester2

Pontefract Collieries0

Hanley Town4

Atherstone1

Cheshunt3

Neots1

Kidderminster1

Tamworth0

Newcastle Town3

FC Congleton Town4

AFC Fylde4

Farsley1

King’s Lynn4

Bedford1

Barwell1

Kettering4

Stocksbridge2

Marine1

Ashington2

Bradford PA1

Clitheroe2

Spennymoor0

Lancaster4

Bury AFC6

TBD-

York City-

Shildon0

South Shields5

Whitby0

Marske United1

TBD-

Scunthorpe-

Solihull Moors-

TBD-

Basford Utd.2

Rugby0

Lichfield City0

Boston United4

Redditch2

Peterborough Sports3

Hemel Hempstead3

Royston Town0

Scarborough Athletic3

Dunston2

United of Manchester2

Curzon Ashton3

Liversedge1

Chorley10

Blyth Spartans2

Guiseley0

TBD-

Wrexham-

Altrincham-

TBD-

Gateshead-

Anstey Nomads5

Ilkeston4

Grays1

Shefford3

TBD-

Chesterfield-

Alvechurch4

Harborough0

Leamington0

Nuneaton1

Long Eaton3

Gainsborough5

Brackley0

Worksop2

Prescot Cables1

Bamber Bridge2

Buxton2

Alfreton1

Hyde1

Warrington Town0

Darlington FC3

Southport2

Notts County-

TBD-

Coalville Town1

Macclesfield0

St. Albans2

Sudbury3

Canvey Island0

St Ives Town3

Telford2

Chasetown4

TBD-

Halifax-

Bromley-

TBD-

Lewes1

Three Bridges5

Hereford1

Bromsgrove0

Torquay-

TBD-

Bognor Regis0

Hampton & Richmond2

Gosport Borough2

Paulton Rovers3

Yeovil-

TBD-

Taunton Town1

Laverstock & Ford0

Walton & Hersham5

Chatham3

Maidenhead-

TBD-

Slough Town1

Worthing FC3

Eastbourne Borough2

Uxbridge0

Dorking Wanderers-

TBD-

Eastleigh-

Cray Valley1

Hanwell Town2

Ebbsfleet2

Dover Ath.0

Bath City3

Hartley Wintney2

Phoenix Sports0

Sevenoaks1

Woking-

TBD-

Southend-

Dartford1

Beckenham Town2

Binfield4

Tonbridge0

TBD-

Dagenham & Red.-

Hendon3

Wingate & Finchley1

Herne Bay2

Ashford United0

Metropolitan Police3

Burgess Hill1

Chippenham Town3

Sholing0

Westfield1

Carshalton2

Havant & Waterlooville1

AFC Totton0

Winchester City1

Weymouth3

Welling3

Fisher0

Maldon & Tiptree0

Hornchurch3

Heybridge2

Braintree3

Salisbury1

Oxford City2

North Leigh2

Plymouth Parkway3

Yate2

Tiverton1

Chesham2

Bracknell Town5

Stratford0

Banbury1

Berkhamsted Town2

Concord Rangers0

Boreham Wood-

TBD-

Wealdstone-

Barnet-

TBD-

Weston-super-Mare1

Shepton Mallet0

Bishops Cleeve6

Helston Athletic7

Needham Market2

Sheringham0

Waltham Abbey2

Brightlingsea3

TBD-

Maidstone-

Potters1

Romford2

Chelmsford6

Kings Langley1

TBD-

Aldershot-

Hungerford1

Gloucester City3

Merthyr Town3

Cirencester2

Dulwich Hamlet2

Margate1

Folkestone3

Chichester City0

Swindon Supermarine1

Dorchester0

Farnborough3

Hayes & Yeading1

Enfield FC0

Billericay4

East Thurrock Utd0

Biggleswade Town3

Semi-finals

Oldham-

TBD-

Chester4

Hanley Town0

Cheshunt1

Kidderminster2

FC Congleton Town2

AFC Fylde6

King’s Lynn6

Kettering1

Stocksbridge2

Ashington5

Clitheroe1

Bury AFC3

TBD-

York City-

South Shields5

Marske United2

TBD-

Scunthorpe-

Solihull Moors-

TBD-

Basford Utd.5

Boston United4

Peterborough Sports3

Hemel Hempstead1

Scarborough Athletic4

Curzon Ashton5

Chorley0

Blyth Spartans1

TBD-

Wrexham-

Altrincham-

TBD-

Gateshead-

Anstey Nomads5

Shefford0

TBD-

Chesterfield-

Alvechurch4

Nuneaton0

Gainsborough0

Worksop1

Bamber Bridge0

Buxton3

Hyde1

Darlington FC0

Notts County-

TBD-

Coalville Town3

Sudbury0

St Ives Town3

Chasetown1

TBD-

Halifax-

Bromley-

TBD-

Three Bridges0

Hereford3

Torquay-

TBD-

Hampton & Richmond6

Paulton Rovers1

Yeovil-

TBD-

Taunton Town1

Walton & Hersham0

Maidenhead-

TBD-

Worthing FC1

Eastbourne Borough2

Dorking Wanderers-

TBD-

Eastleigh-

Hanwell Town1

Ebbsfleet2

Bath City0

Sevenoaks1

Woking-

TBD-

Southend-

Beckenham Town5

Binfield3

TBD-

Dagenham & Red.-

Hendon3

Herne Bay2

Metropolitan Police1

Chippenham Town2

Carshalton0

Havant & Waterlooville2

Weymouth3

Welling0

Hornchurch3

Braintree0

Oxford City4

Plymouth Parkway2

Yate0

Bracknell Town3

Banbury2

Berkhamsted Town0

Boreham Wood-

TBD-

Wealdstone-

Barnet-

TBD-

Weston-super-Mare7

Helston Athletic2

Needham Market2

Brightlingsea0

TBD-

Maidstone-

Romford0

Chelmsford5

TBD-

Aldershot-

Gloucester City0

Merthyr Town1

Dulwich Hamlet0

Folkestone1

Swindon Supermarine1

Farnborough5

Billericay3

Biggleswade Town6

Final

Oldham4

Chester3

Kidderminster2

AFC Fylde4

King’s Lynn3

Ashington1

Bury AFC1

York City2

South Shields1

Scunthorpe0

Solihull Moors1

Basford Utd.0

Peterborough Sports0

Curzon Ashton1

Blyth Spartans3

Wrexham4

Altrincham3

Gateshead4

Anstey Nomads0

Chesterfield3

Alvechurch3

Worksop2

Buxton2

Hyde1

Notts County2

Coalville Town3

St Ives Town0

Halifax3

Bromley1

Hereford2

Torquay4

Hampton & Richmond3

Yeovil0

Taunton Town1

Maidenhead2

Eastbourne Borough1

Dorking Wanderers1

Eastleigh3

Ebbsfleet2

Sevenoaks0

Woking2

Southend1

Beckenham Town0

Dagenham & Red.7

Hendon2

Chippenham Town3

Havant & Waterlooville1

Weymouth2

Hornchurch1

Oxford City4

Bracknell Town2

Banbury1

Boreham Wood5

Wealdstone3

Barnet3

Weston-super-Mare0

Needham Market1

Maidstone0

Chelmsford2

Aldershot0

Merthyr Town2

Folkestone1

Farnborough7

Biggleswade Town0