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Herne Bay vs Lordswood

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
21' Event
Kuchkov A.
27' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Herne Bay and Lordswood finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Herne Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Herne Bay
15%
Draws
39%
Lordswood
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Herne Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Herne Bay come out ahead of Lordswood on wins alone.
  • Herne Bay are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Herne Bay Clean Sheet 20%
Lordswood Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herne Bay Lordswood
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 11 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.57 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Herne Bay vs Lordswood
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herne Bay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lordswood Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuchkov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baker F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herne Bay 42 / 100
Lordswood 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herne Bay Lordswood

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Herne Bay scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Lordswood conceded in 77% of 13 recent games.

Herne Bay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herne Bay VS Lordswood
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Herne Bay

(Home)
12 Sept
Herne Bay
0 : 1
Southall FC
29 Aug
Herne Bay
4 : 3
Kingstonian
28 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 2
Herne Bay
07 Jul
Chatham
0 : 2
Herne Bay
06 Sept
Herne Bay
0 : 3
Ashford United
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Lordswood

(Away)
14 Sept
Lordswood
0 : 1
Sittingbourne
31 Aug
Lordswood
3 : 1
Binfield
25 Jul
Lordswood
1 : 0
Gillingham U21
18 Jul
Lordswood
0 : 4
Sheppey United
08 Jul
Hythe
3 : 0
Lordswood
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