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Herne Bay vs Welling

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Herne Bay and Welling finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Welling.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Herne Bay
20%
Draws
44%
Welling
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Welling

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Welling carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Herne Bay Clean Sheet 17%
Welling Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herne Bay Welling
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Herne Bay vs Welling
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herne Bay 30 / 100
Welling 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herne Bay Welling

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Welling has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Herne Bay's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Herne Bay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Welling lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herne Bay VS Welling
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Herne Bay

(Home)
28 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 2
Herne Bay
07 Jul
Chatham
0 : 2
Herne Bay
06 Sept
Herne Bay
0 : 3
Ashford United
29 Jul
Herne Bay
0 : 1
Welling
22 Jul
Herne Bay
2 : 2
Dartford
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Welling

(Away)
11 Aug
Leatherhead
4 : 1
Welling
08 Aug
Welling
2 : 0
Whitehawk
01 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Welling
14 Jul
Welling
3 : 2
Braintree
11 Jul
Maidstone
4 : 1
Welling
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