Sport Picks
Hertha Berlin II vs Erfurt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Regionalliga Nordost 
Match Events
14'
14'
Dehl L.
27'
27'
Muller Y.
90'
90'
Forkel D.
AI Match Summary
Erfurt in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erfurt.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Erfurt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Erfurt lately — more wins on the board than Hertha Berlin II.
- Model gives Erfurt a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hertha Berlin II Clean Sheet 10%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hertha Berlin II | Erfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.08 | 2.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Hertha Berlin II vs Erfurt
1:2
Mar 20, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Hertha Berlin II
3:2
Sep 26, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Hertha Berlin II vs Erfurt
0:0
Mar 21, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Hertha Berlin II
4:1
Aug 20, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Hertha Berlin II vs Erfurt
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hertha Berlin II Compare
Top Goalscorer Muller Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Erfurt Compare
Top Goalscorer Dehl L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Forkel D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hertha Berlin II 10 / 100
Erfurt 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hertha Berlin II Erfurt
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Erfurt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Hertha Berlin II scored in 62% of their last 26 games.
Erfurt let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Hertha Berlin II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hertha Berlin II VS Erfurt
0.88 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Hertha Berlin II
(Home) 27 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 1 Zwickau
19 Sept
Babelsberg
0 : 2 Hertha Berlin II
15 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 2 Erfurt
12 Sept
Jena
3 : 0 Hertha Berlin II
29 Aug
Hertha Berlin II
0 : 2 Hallescher
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 1 Zwickau
15 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 2 Erfurt
29 Aug
Hertha Berlin II
0 : 2 Hallescher
14 Aug
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 1 BFC Dynamo
04 Aug
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 4 Greifswalder FC
Page 1 of 3
Erfurt
(Away) 26 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 : 4 Erfurt
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2 Aue
15 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 2 Erfurt
11 Sept
Erfurt
5 : 0 Rsv Eintracht
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1 BFC Preussen
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 : 4 Erfurt
15 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 2 Erfurt
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5 Erfurt
09 Aug
Jena
1 : 2 Erfurt
02 Aug
Hallescher
1 : 1 Erfurt
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erfurt | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 36:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25:5 | 26 |
| 3 | BFC Dynamo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 4 | Hallescher | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Aue | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Jena | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 19 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Zwickau | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 10 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:23 | 15 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:23 | 13 |
| 12 | Babelsberg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Chemie Leipzig | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 15 | Hertha Berlin II | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Rsv Eintracht | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13:29 | 6 |
| 17 | Luckenwalde | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12:29 | 6 |
| 18 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13:38 | 5 |
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
