Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hertha Berlin vs Elversberg

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal 2025/2026 Olympiastadion, Berlin
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Cuisance M.
Assist: Demme D.
40'
Gyamerah J.
54'
Sub
Stange O. In: Petkov L.
Out: Stange O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Hertha Berlin advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Hertha Berlin
15%
Draws
27%
Elversberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hertha Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Elversberg haven't matched Hertha Berlin's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hertha Berlin's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Hertha Berlin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Elversberg, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hertha Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hertha Berlin Elversberg
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.66 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Hertha Berlin
0:3
Oct 28, 2025 DFB Pokal
Hertha Berlin vs Elversberg
3:0
Aug 29, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Elversberg
0:2
Mar 2, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Hertha Berlin
4:0
Sep 29, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Elversberg
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hertha Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuisance M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gronning S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Elversberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hertha Berlin 65 / 100
Elversberg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hertha Berlin Elversberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hertha Berlin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hertha Berlin found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Elversberg has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hertha Berlin remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hertha Berlin VS Elversberg
2.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hertha Berlin

(Home)
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
13 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 3
Hertha Berlin
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Magdeburg
28 Aug
Braunschweig
3 : 5
Hertha Berlin
22 Aug
Saarbrucken
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
Page 1 of 6

Elversberg

(Away)
24 Sept
Mannheim
2 : 1
Elversberg
20 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0
Elversberg
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2
Bayern Munich
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Engers 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 5
RW Essen 0
Dortmund 1
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Paderborn 3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
Delmenhorst 2
B. Monchengladbach 3
Meuselwitz 0
Karlsruher 5
Eintracht Norderstedt 0
St. Pauli 1
Hansa Rostock 0
Hoffenheim 4
Gutersloh 0
Union Berlin 5
Arminia Bielefeld 1
Werder Bremen 0
Regensburg 1
1. FC Koln 2
Wehen 2
Bayern Munich 3
Energie Cottbus 1
Hannover 0
Sandhausen 2
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 4
Nurnberg 3
Saarbrucken 1
Magdeburg 3
Bahlinger 0
Heidenheim 5
Pirmasens 1
Hamburger 2
Hemelingen 0
Wolfsburg 9
FC 08 Homburg 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hallescher 0
Augsburg 2
BFC Dynamo 1
Bochum 3
Dresden 0
Mainz 1
Braunschweig 4
VfB Stuttgart 5
Preussen Munster 0
Hertha Berlin 1
Ulm 0
Elversberg 1
Lohne 0
Greuther Furth 2
Rsv Eintracht 0
Kaiserslautern 7
1. FC Schweinfurt 2
Dusseldorf 4
Lotte 0
Freiburg 2
Lubeck 1
Darmstadt 2
Lokomotive Leipzig 0
Schalke 1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Dortmund 2
Paderborn 2
Bayer Leverkusen 4
B. Monchengladbach 3
Karlsruher 1
St. Pauli 3
Hoffenheim 2
Union Berlin 2
Arminia Bielefeld 1
1. FC Koln 1
Bayern Munich 4
Energie Cottbus 1
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 0
Magdeburg 3
Heidenheim 0
Hamburger 1
Wolfsburg 0
Holstein Kiel 1
Augsburg 0
Bochum 1
Mainz 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 3
Elversberg 0
Greuther Furth 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 3
Darmstadt 4
Schalke 0
1/8-finals
Dortmund 0
Bayer Leverkusen 1
B. Monchengladbach 1
St. Pauli 2
Union Berlin 2
Bayern Munich 3
RB Leipzig 3
Magdeburg 1
Hamburger 1
Holstein Kiel 2
Bochum 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 6
Kaiserslautern 1
Freiburg 2
Darmstadt 0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 3
St. Pauli 0
Bayern Munich 2
RB Leipzig 0
Holstein Kiel 0
VfB Stuttgart 3
Hertha Berlin 1
Freiburg 2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 0
Bayern Munich 2
VfB Stuttgart 2
Freiburg 1
Final
Bayern Munich 3
VfB Stuttgart 0