Sport Picks
Hertha Berlin vs Freiburg
Germany
DFB Pokal 2025/2026 Olympiastadion, Berlin 
Match Events
7'
7'
Reese F.
63'
63'
Sub
Scherhant D. In: Grifo V.
Out: Scherhant D.
70'
70'
Grifo V.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Freiburg advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hertha Berlin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Hertha Berlin haven't matched Freiburg's recent run of results.
- Model gives Freiburg a 42% chance of winning this.
- Freiburg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Freiburg, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Hertha Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hertha Berlin | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.66 | 2.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2026 DFB Pokal
Hertha Berlin vs Freiburg
1:2
Apr 1, 2023 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Hertha Berlin
1:1
Oct 9, 2022 Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Freiburg
2:2
Feb 26, 2022 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Hertha Berlin
3:0
Oct 2, 2021 Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Freiburg
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hertha Berlin Compare
Top Goalscorer Reese F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Freiburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Suzuki Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hertha Berlin 18 / 100
Freiburg 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hertha Berlin Freiburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Freiburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hertha Berlin's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Hertha Berlin went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Freiburg has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Hertha Berlin VS Freiburg
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hertha Berlin
(Home) 13 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 3 Hertha Berlin
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1 Magdeburg
28 Aug
Braunschweig
3 : 5 Hertha Berlin
22 Aug
Saarbrucken
1 : 2 Hertha Berlin
15 Aug
Hertha Berlin
4 : 1 Heidenheim
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1 Magdeburg
15 Aug
Hertha Berlin
4 : 1 Heidenheim
21 Jul
Hertha Berlin
1 : 1 Mamelodi Sundowns
17 Jul
Hertha Berlin
3 : 2 Tirol
10 May
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1 Greuther Furth
Page 1 of 3
Freiburg
(Away) 12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0 B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1 Freiburg
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Werder Bremen
27 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Motherwell
23 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 5 Freiburg
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1 Freiburg
23 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 5 Freiburg
20 Aug
Motherwell
1 : 3 Freiburg
10 May
Hamburger
3 : 2 Freiburg
30 Apr
Braga
2 : 1 Freiburg
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Engers 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 5
RW Essen 0
Dortmund 1
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Paderborn 3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
Delmenhorst 2
B. Monchengladbach 3
Meuselwitz 0
Karlsruher 5
Eintracht Norderstedt 0
St. Pauli 1
Hansa Rostock 0
Hoffenheim 4
Gutersloh 0
Union Berlin 5
Arminia Bielefeld 1
Werder Bremen 0
Regensburg 1
1. FC Koln 2
Wehen 2
Bayern Munich 3
Energie Cottbus 1
Hannover 0
Sandhausen 2
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 4
Nurnberg 3
Saarbrucken 1
Magdeburg 3
Bahlinger 0
Heidenheim 5
Pirmasens 1
Hamburger 2
Hemelingen 0
Wolfsburg 9
FC 08 Homburg 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hallescher 0
Augsburg 2
BFC Dynamo 1
Bochum 3
Dresden 0
Mainz 1
Braunschweig 4
VfB Stuttgart 5
Preussen Munster 0
Hertha Berlin 1
Ulm 0
Elversberg 1
Lohne 0
Greuther Furth 2
Rsv Eintracht 0
Kaiserslautern 7
1. FC Schweinfurt 2
Dusseldorf 4
Lotte 0
Freiburg 2
Lubeck 1
Darmstadt 2
Lokomotive Leipzig 0
Schalke 1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Dortmund 2
Paderborn 2
Bayer Leverkusen 4
B. Monchengladbach 3
Karlsruher 1
St. Pauli 3
Hoffenheim 2
Union Berlin 2
Arminia Bielefeld 1
1. FC Koln 1
Bayern Munich 4
Energie Cottbus 1
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 0
Magdeburg 3
Heidenheim 0
Hamburger 1
Wolfsburg 0
Holstein Kiel 1
Augsburg 0
Bochum 1
Mainz 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 3
Elversberg 0
Greuther Furth 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 3
Darmstadt 4
Schalke 0
1/8-finals
Dortmund 0
Bayer Leverkusen 1
B. Monchengladbach 1
St. Pauli 2
Union Berlin 2
Bayern Munich 3
RB Leipzig 3
Magdeburg 1
Hamburger 1
Holstein Kiel 2
Bochum 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 6
Kaiserslautern 1
Freiburg 2
Darmstadt 0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 3
St. Pauli 0
Bayern Munich 2
RB Leipzig 0
Holstein Kiel 0
VfB Stuttgart 3
Hertha Berlin 1
Freiburg 2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 0
Bayern Munich 2
VfB Stuttgart 2
Freiburg 1
Final
Bayern Munich 3
VfB Stuttgart 0
