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Hesperange vs Ettelbruck

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue Stade Alphonse Theis, Hesperange
Sun, Sep 6, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hesperange host Ettelbruck in the BGL Ligue. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Hesperange at 0.84 goals for, 1.94 against; Ettelbruck at 1.62 for, 2.21 against. Past meetings favor Hesperange slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 12, 2023, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.69, favoring Ettelbruck. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Hesperange
15%
Draws
85%
Ettelbruck
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ettelbruck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ettelbruck lately — more wins on the board than Hesperange.
  • Ettelbruck are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hesperange have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hesperange Clean Sheet 13%
Ettelbruck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hesperange Ettelbruck
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.84 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 BGL Ligue
Hesperange vs Ettelbruck
2:2
Sep 10, 2022 BGL Ligue
Ettelbruck vs Hesperange
0:4
Feb 20, 2022 BGL Ligue
Ettelbruck vs Hesperange
0:2
Aug 28, 2021 BGL Ligue
Hesperange vs Ettelbruck
5:2
May 12, 2021 BGL Ligue
Hesperange vs Ettelbruck
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hesperange 10 / 100
Ettelbruck 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hesperange Ettelbruck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ettelbruck Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ettelbruck conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Ettelbruck lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Hesperange scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hesperange VS Ettelbruck
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hesperange

(Home)
23 Aug
Hesperange
0 : 2
Hostert
16 Aug
Racing Luxembourg
5 : 0
Hesperange
09 Aug
Hesperange
2 : 7
Wiltz
02 Aug
Rumelange
1 : 0
Hesperange
14 Jul
Hesperange
0 : 2
Bettembourg
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Ettelbruck

(Away)
23 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 1
Kaerjeng
16 Aug
Hostert
5 : 1
Ettelbruck
09 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 1
Racing Luxembourg
01 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 1
Ettelbruck
26 Jul
Jeunesse Canach
1 : 3
Ettelbruck
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNA Strassen 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Mondorf 4 4 0 0 10:5 12
3 Racing Luxembourg 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
4 Differdange 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
5 Progres Niedercorn 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
6 Bissen 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
7 Hostert 4 2 0 2 11:8 6
8 FC Residence Walferdange 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
9 Rumelange 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
10 Kaerjeng 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
11 Wiltz 4 1 1 2 9:9 4
12 Victoria Rosport 4 1 0 3 8:10 3
13 Dudelange 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
14 Ettelbruck 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
15 Jeunesse Esch 4 0 0 4 2:8 0
16 Hesperange 4 0 0 4 2:15 -12
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)