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Hesperange vs Ettelbruck - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue Stade Alphonse Theis, Hesperange
Hesperange Logo

Hesperange

0 - 3
FT
Ettelbruck Logo

Ettelbruck

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Cvetkovic A.
Assist: Gustavo
52' Event
Kovacevic B.
75' Event
Gustavo
Assist: Yamba Mubeya S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ettelbruck in this BGL Ligue matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ettelbruck.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Hesperange
15%
Draws
85%
Ettelbruck
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ettelbruck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ettelbruck lately — more wins on the board than Hesperange.
  • Ettelbruck are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Hesperange Clean Sheet 10%
Ettelbruck Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hesperange Ettelbruck
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.77 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.35 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 BGL Ligue
Hesperange vs Ettelbruck
0:3
Mar 12, 2023 BGL Ligue
Hesperange vs Ettelbruck
2:2
Sep 10, 2022 BGL Ligue
Ettelbruck vs Hesperange
0:4
Feb 20, 2022 BGL Ligue
Ettelbruck vs Hesperange
0:2
Aug 28, 2021 BGL Ligue
Hesperange vs Ettelbruck
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hesperange Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ettelbruck Compare

Top Goalscorer Cvetkovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovacevic B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hesperange 10 / 100
Ettelbruck 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hesperange Ettelbruck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ettelbruck Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ettelbruck conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Ettelbruck registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hesperange scored in 42% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Hesperange VS Ettelbruck
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
3.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hesperange

(Home)
18 Oct
Dudelange
5 : 0
Hesperange
11 Oct
Hesperange
0 : 3
Victoria Rosport
20 Sept
Echternach
2 : 1
Hesperange
16 Sept
Differdange
3 : 0
Hesperange
13 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
FC Residence Walferdange
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Ettelbruck

(Away)
18 Oct
Jeunesse Esch
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
11 Oct
Ettelbruck
1 : 3
Dudelange
20 Sept
FC Schengen
0 : 1
Ettelbruck
16 Sept
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1
Ettelbruck
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNA Strassen 10 9 1 0 20:3 28
2 Differdange 10 9 0 1 30:8 27
3 Mondorf 10 8 0 2 22:13 24
4 Kaerjeng 10 7 0 3 29:17 21
5 Racing Luxembourg 10 5 4 1 24:11 19
6 Bissen 10 6 1 3 25:14 19
7 Progres Niedercorn 10 6 1 3 16:7 19
8 FC Residence Walferdange 10 5 1 4 19:19 16
9 Dudelange 10 4 1 5 16:16 13
10 Hostert 10 3 2 5 15:18 11
11 Jeunesse Esch 10 3 1 6 16:21 10
12 Victoria Rosport 10 2 2 6 17:25 8
13 Rumelange 10 2 1 7 12:28 7
14 Ettelbruck 10 1 2 7 7:19 5
15 Wiltz 10 1 1 8 15:28 4
16 Hesperange 10 0 0 10 2:38 -12
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)