Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hestrafors vs Jonsereds

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Wahlstrom J.
19' Event
Andersson O.
32' Event
Lillskog V.

AI Match Summary

Hestrafors in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hestrafors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hestrafors
30%
Draws
27%
Jonsereds
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hestrafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Jonsereds have won more games recently than Hestrafors.
  • Hestrafors are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hestrafors Clean Sheet 14%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hestrafors Jonsereds
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.84 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hestrafors vs Jonsereds
5:1
Jun 29, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Hestrafors
0:0
Jun 6, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hestrafors vs Jonsereds
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hestrafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunnergard Ortan E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Wahlstrom J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Jonsereds Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hestrafors 66 / 100
Jonsereds 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hestrafors Jonsereds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hestrafors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Hestrafors stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Hestrafors scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Jonsereds's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hestrafors VS Jonsereds
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hestrafors

(Home)
14 Aug
Hestrafors
2 : 1
Qviding
08 Aug
Frolunda
3 : 3
Hestrafors
01 Aug
Hestrafors
2 : 1
Astorps
27 Jun
BK Astrio
1 : 2
Hestrafors
17 Jun
Kongahalla
0 : 3
Hestrafors
Page 1 of 7

Jonsereds

(Away)
09 Aug
Jonsereds
2 : 2
Landvetter
31 Jul
Lindome
2 : 3
Jonsereds
28 Jun
Jonsereds
1 : 0
Kongahalla
17 Jun
Landvetter
1 : 0
Jonsereds
13 Jun
Jonsereds
2 : 2
Qviding
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Landvetter 17 13 2 2 30:10 41
2 Hestrafors 17 9 3 5 36:30 30
3 Dalstorps 16 8 5 3 31:18 29
4 Lindome 17 8 4 5 32:25 28
5 Jonsereds 16 8 4 4 28:27 28
6 Frolunda 17 7 6 4 36:28 27
7 Boljan 17 6 5 6 22:24 23
8 Torslanda 16 5 7 4 26:21 22
9 Qviding 17 6 4 7 34:33 22
10 Onsala 16 5 6 5 24:24 21
11 Astorps 17 4 5 8 20:31 17
12 Kongahalla 17 3 6 8 19:31 15
13 Galtabacks 17 2 4 11 22:30 10
14 BK Astrio 17 1 3 13 11:39 6
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Relegation)