Sport Picks
Hetman Zamosc vs Jaroslaw - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
AI Match Summary
Hetman Zamosc host Jaroslaw in the III Liga - Group IV. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Hetman Zamosc at 1.5 goals for, 2.57 against; Jaroslaw at 2.26 for, 1.78 against. Past meetings favor Jaroslaw slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 18, 2025, ending 5:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 2.56, favoring Jaroslaw. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Jaroslaw lately — more wins on the board than Hetman Zamosc.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
- Jaroslaw have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hetman Zamosc | Jaroslaw |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.57 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Jaroslaw conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.
These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.
Hetman Zamosc scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Hetman Zamosc has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hetman Zamosc
(Home)Jaroslaw
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
