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Hetman Zamosc vs Star Starachowice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Rodriguez J.
45' Event
Bartos K.
49' Event
Iwanek F.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV game between Hetman Zamosc and Star Starachowice finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hetman Zamosc.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hetman Zamosc
35%
Draws
28%
Star Starachowice
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hetman Zamosc

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Star Starachowice come out ahead of Hetman Zamosc on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 18%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hetman Zamosc Star Starachowice
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Star Starachowice
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hetman Zamosc Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bartos K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Star Starachowice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hetman Zamosc 32 / 100
Star Starachowice 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hetman Zamosc Star Starachowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hetman Zamosc scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Star Starachowice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hetman Zamosc stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hetman Zamosc VS Star Starachowice
2 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hetman Zamosc

(Home)
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3
Wisla II
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1
Moravia Morawica
Page 1 of 6

Star Starachowice

(Away)
01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2
Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3
Wisloka Debica
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 11 8 3 0 18:5 27
2 Wisloka Debica 11 7 1 3 16:13 22
3 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 11 5 5 1 16:9 20
5 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
6 Wislanie Skawina 11 5 2 4 15:11 17
7 Jaroslaw 11 5 2 4 27:20 17
8 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 11 4 2 5 14:15 14
9 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
10 Busko-Zdroj 11 4 2 5 17:21 14
11 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
12 Wisla II 11 3 4 4 13:16 13
13 Biala Podlaska 11 3 3 5 10:13 12
14 Korona Kielce II 11 3 2 6 23:27 11
15 Star Starachowice 11 2 5 4 13:17 11
16 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 11 3 2 6 10:14 11
17 Moravia Morawica 11 2 2 7 13:22 8
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 11 2 1 8 11:21 7
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)