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HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Wanderers Grounds, Halifax, NS
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Match Events

18' Event
Bahamboula J.
45'
Bah E.
57'
Gee P.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between HFX Wanderers and Vancouver FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HFX Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
HFX Wanderers
35%
Draws
24%
Vancouver FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: HFX Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Vancouver FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on HFX Wanderers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 16%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HFX Wanderers Vancouver FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC
1:0
May 30, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers
3:1
Aug 4, 2025 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HFX Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahamboula J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Vancouver FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HFX Wanderers 75 / 100
Vancouver FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HFX Wanderers Vancouver FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HFX Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vancouver FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: HFX Wanderers scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: HFX Wanderers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HFX Wanderers VS Vancouver FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HFX Wanderers

(Home)
03 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 3
HFX Wanderers
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2
HFX Wanderers
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
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Vancouver FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Supra du Quebec
2 : 2
Vancouver FC
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Vancouver FC
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 26 13 4 9 40:41 43
4 Vancouver FC 26 9 7 10 37:35 34
5 Supra du Quebec 26 9 5 12 40:47 32
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 26 2 8 16 30:57 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)