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Hibernian vs Falkirk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Easter Road, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Elding O.
13' Event
Murrell J.
Assist: Strain R.
25'
Krauhaus B.

AI Match Summary

Falkirk in this Premiership matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falkirk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Hibernian
20%
Draws
73%
Falkirk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Falkirk at 1.57 per game, Hibernian at 1.34.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hibernian Clean Sheet 16%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hibernian Falkirk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Premiership
Hibernian vs Falkirk
1:2
May 9, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hibernian
1:3
Jan 24, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hibernian
4:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premiership
Hibernian vs Falkirk
3:0
Sep 23, 2025 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hibernian
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hibernian Compare

Top Goalscorer Elding O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Falkirk Compare

Top Goalscorer Murrell J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hibernian 31 / 100
Falkirk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hibernian Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkirk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Hibernian scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Falkirk conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Hibernian went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hibernian VS Falkirk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hibernian

(Home)
25 Oct
Hibernian
1 : 2
Celtic
17 Oct
Hibernian
1 : 2
Falkirk
10 Oct
Dundee Utd
1 : 0
Hibernian
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
Page 1 of 6

Falkirk

(Away)
24 Oct
Falkirk
3 : 0
Kilmarnock
17 Oct
Hibernian
1 : 2
Falkirk
10 Oct
Falkirk
1 : 2
Dundee FC
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 10 9 0 1 25:6 27
2 Rangers 10 7 2 1 17:7 23
3 Hearts 10 6 1 3 22:15 19
4 Dundee Utd 10 4 3 3 14:14 15
5 Dundee FC 10 4 2 4 14:12 14
6 St. Mirren 10 4 1 5 11:18 13
7 Falkirk 10 3 3 4 12:12 12
8 St Johnstone 10 3 3 4 11:15 12
9 Aberdeen 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
10 Motherwell 10 2 2 6 11:18 8
11 Kilmarnock 10 2 2 6 10:23 8
12 Hibernian 10 2 1 7 10:16 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)