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Hibernian vs Falkirk

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Easter Road, Edinburgh
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hibernian host Falkirk in the Premiership. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Falkirk have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Hibernian have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.54. Head-to-head, Hibernian have won 2 to Falkirk's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.71, favoring Hibernian. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hibernian
20%
Draws
20%
Falkirk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hibernian

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Falkirk haven't matched Hibernian's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hibernian's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hibernian Clean Sheet 20%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hibernian Falkirk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.54 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hibernian
1:3
Jan 24, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hibernian
4:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premiership
Hibernian vs Falkirk
3:0
Sep 23, 2025 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hibernian
2:2
Jul 12, 2022 League Cup
Falkirk vs Hibernian
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hibernian 49 / 100
Falkirk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hibernian Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hibernian Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Hibernian scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Falkirk conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Falkirk lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hibernian VS Falkirk
1.25 Goals Scored 0.43
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hibernian

(Home)
12 Sept
Ross County
0 : 3
Hibernian
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
30 Aug
Dundee FC
1 : 2
Hibernian
27 Aug
Hibernian
2 : 3
Gent
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Falkirk

(Away)
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
09 Aug
Motherwell
0 : 0
Falkirk
01 Aug
Falkirk
0 : 2
St. Mirren
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 14:3 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Hearts 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
4 St. Mirren 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
5 Motherwell 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
6 Dundee FC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
7 St Johnstone 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
8 Hibernian 5 2 0 3 7:9 6
9 Dundee Utd 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
10 Aberdeen 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
11 Falkirk 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
12 Kilmarnock 5 0 1 4 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)