Sport Picks

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Hibernian vs Motherwell

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Easter Road, Edinburgh
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hibernian host Motherwell in the Premiership. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Hibernian have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Motherwell's 1.38 scored and 2.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Motherwell slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.38, favoring Motherwell. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hibernian
22%
Draws
18%
Motherwell
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Hibernian

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Motherwell carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Hibernian taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Hibernian Clean Sheet 17%
Motherwell Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hibernian Motherwell
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premiership
Hibernian vs Motherwell
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Premiership
Motherwell vs Hibernian
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Premiership
Hibernian vs Motherwell
1:1
Nov 25, 2025 Premiership
Motherwell vs Hibernian
2:0
Jan 11, 2025 Premiership
Hibernian vs Motherwell
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hibernian 57 / 100
Motherwell 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hibernian Motherwell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HIB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hibernian scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Motherwell's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Motherwell let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hibernian VS Motherwell
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hibernian

(Home)
23 Jul
Malisheva
2 : 0
Hibernian
18 Jul
Hibernian
2 : 1
Brondby
04 Jul
Cliftonville
1 : 5
Hibernian
30 Jun
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0
Hibernian
16 May
Hibernian
0 : 1
Motherwell
Page 1 of 6

Motherwell

(Away)
23 Jul
Motherwell
2 : 0
HB Torshavn
17 Jul
Motherwell
3 : 4
Genk
05 Jul
Aarhus
4 : 0
Motherwell
16 May
Hibernian
0 : 1
Motherwell
13 May
Motherwell
2 : 3
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd00000:00
2Falkirk00000:00
3Hearts00000:00
4Hibernian00000:00
5Kilmarnock00000:00
6Motherwell00000:00
7St. Mirren00000:00
8Dundee FC00000:00
9St Johnstone00000:00
10Celtic00000:00
11Rangers00000:00
12Aberdeen00000:00
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)