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Hibernians vs Gudja Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cleiton
54' Event
Villela L.
58' Event
Zivkovic A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Hibernians
20%
Draws
60%
Gudja
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gudja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gudja come out ahead of Hibernians on wins alone.
  • Hibernians are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Gudja arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hibernians, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hibernians have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hibernians Clean Sheet 16%
Gudja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hibernians Gudja
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2026 FA Trophy
Hibernians vs Gudja
3:1
Mar 10, 2024 Premier League
Gudja vs Hibernians
0:3
Nov 5, 2023 Premier League
Hibernians vs Gudja
1:0
Mar 5, 2023 Premier League
Gudja vs Hibernians
1:4
Oct 22, 2022 Premier League
Hibernians vs Gudja
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hibernians Compare

Top Goalscorer Villela L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cleiton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Gudja Compare

Top Goalscorer Zivkovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hibernians 36 / 100
Gudja 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hibernians Gudja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Hibernians scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Gudja let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Gudja's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hibernians VS Gudja
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hibernians

(Home)
20 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 4
Floriana
12 Sept
Birkirkara
1 : 1
Hibernians
02 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 2
Valletta
28 Aug
Hibernians
1 : 1
Zabbar
21 Aug
Marsaxlokk
1 : 0
Hibernians
Page 1 of 6

Gudja

(Away)
19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Gudja
13 Sept
Gudja
0 : 3
Melita
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3
Gudja
12 Apr
Mgarr
0 : 2
Gudja
04 Apr
Gudja
1 : 2
Zebbug
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1